Browsed by
Category: EU Referendum

YouGov has LEAVE lead up to 9% in survey taken immediately after this week’s key referendum talks

YouGov has LEAVE lead up to 9% in survey taken immediately after this week’s key referendum talks

Comments 0 Comment

On Betfair REMAIN drops a notch to a 66.7% chance So far in the referendum campaign members of the YouGov have been tending to be more in favour of BREXIT than those most other online firms and certainly there’s a massive gap between YouGov and the EURef phone polls. However the events of this week and the coverage they’ve been getting have not been good for Cameron’s position on the vote that is reported to be being planned for June…

Read More Read More

The EURef campaign looks set to come down to Cameron versus the Tory press

The EURef campaign looks set to come down to Cameron versus the Tory press

Comments 0 Comment

Can Dave really win the argument in the face of this? Thanks to Guido for his collage of today’s front pages of the Tory papers following the negotiations on Britain’s future relationship with the EU. This must be the worst set of front pages for Cameron since the media turned on him in July 2007 at the start of Gordon Brown’s honeymoon as Prime Minister. Then the following two months became a nightmare and in September his Ipsos-MORI ratings dropped…

Read More Read More

The EURef betting moves a notch to REMAIN following the latest from Tusk

The EURef betting moves a notch to REMAIN following the latest from Tusk

Comments 0 Comment

We knew the renegotiation was a fudge, but even we are surprised by this… #LeaveEU pic.twitter.com/zHttpPoswx — Leave.EU (@LeaveEUOfficial) February 2, 2016 https://twitter.com/StrongerIn/status/694491947424153601 The EU Negotiations: Will what Cameron says is “substantial change” be enough? What a 24 hours. With all eyes and a lot of money at stake in Iowa we can now turn to the latest in Cameron’s EU negotiations and the publication of draft proposals from Mr. Tusk. It looks as though Cameron has made some progress…

Read More Read More

Introducing the Politicalbetting EU Referendum Polling Averages – split by mode. Online and Phone

Introducing the Politicalbetting EU Referendum Polling Averages – split by mode. Online and Phone

Comments 0 Comment

Hover cursor over chart to see actual figures We all know that there is a huge disparity between current EU referendum polls with the phone surveys showing much poorer figures for the BREXIT than the online firms. I’ve been tracking this carefully over the past six months and am now introducing a polling average which is split into two. I can’t say for certain which is right so let’s look at them both. What might appear is that we’ll see…

Read More Read More

Leave could be making the same mistake Labour made at the 2015 General Election

Leave could be making the same mistake Labour made at the 2015 General Election

Comments 0 Comment

The latest @IpsosMORI leader ratings which have Cameron as the best rated leader and Corbyn & Farage the worst. pic.twitter.com/P1Ds1t10Up — TSE (@TSEofPB) January 31, 2016 If the referendum comes down to a popular leader with economic credibility versus an unpopular leader without any economic credibility then there will only be one winner, again. In the most recent electoral events in the United Kingdom, the Scottish Independence referendum and the 2015 general election, the side that won was the side…

Read More Read More

The key EURef issue: Whether Cameron can secure a deal that’s saleable

The key EURef issue: Whether Cameron can secure a deal that’s saleable

Comments 0 Comment

David Herdson questions whether minor benefit reform will be enough When Cameron gave his Bloomberg speech three years ago, kicking off his whole renegotiation policy, he set out a vision of the European Union he believed was fit for the twenty-first century, built on five principles: 1. Competitiveness. In particular, completing the Single Market in services, energy and digital, and “addressing the sclerotic, inefficient decision-making” and “creating a leaner, less bureaucratic Union”. 2. Flexibility. He mentioned doing away with ‘ever…

Read More Read More

A second EURef phone poll has REMAIN with huge lead

A second EURef phone poll has REMAIN with huge lead

Comments 0 Comment

Applying ComRes's post-GE2015 turnout model the latest poll showsREMAIN 57%LEAVE 34%DK 9% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 29, 2016 Updated table of latest #EURef polls including today's new phone surveys pic.twitter.com/0S0O3VPYAK — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 29, 2016 ComRes/Mail phone poll finds 44% saying economy would do better staying in EU with 23% saying better out — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 29, 2016 CON lead up 1 in latest ComRes/Mail phone pollCon 37% (NC)Lab 32% (-1)LD 6% (-1)UKIP 12% (+1)Green…

Read More Read More