As we are a few days away from the fortieth anniversary of The United Kingdom joining the EU, the Guardian has some polling by ICM on the EU. The public mood of Euroscepticism is hardening, according to an exclusive Guardian/ICM poll that finds 51% of respondents would vote to take Britain out of the EU, against just 40% who say they would vote to stay in. As the Guardian notes This marks a turnaround from similar polls conducted in the earliest years of…
Following on from last night’s phone polls from Populus and ComRes which showed UKIP  vote share increasing with the phone pollsters, Lord Ashcroft has published some polling on UKIP, from which we learn [The] research finds that 12% of those who voted Tory in 2010 now say they would vote UKIP in an election tomorrow. Half of all those who would consider voting UKIP supported the Conservatives at the last election. The graphic below shows which of the following issues is the most important…
How UKIP supporters assess the importance of the EU as an issue. Some remarkable findings – see chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 1, 2012 49%, though, rate immigration as key Ipsos-MORI aggregated data from their issues index polling will be published next week with the quite remarkable finding that just 20% of UKIP voters mention EU/Europe as a key issue facing the country. The one area that they are really concerned about is immigration with 49%. The Ipsos-MORI…
Britain’s relationship with Europe: How voters from different parties see it differently – today’s YouGov twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 25, 2012 The chart has been prepared from the latest polling by YouGov on attitudes towards the EU. On the main issue of how people would vote in a referendum the overall split is 49% withdraw and 32% remain. The chart shows how voters for the parties divide. There is no column for UKIP because YouGov do not provide…
Hills have re-opened EU betting market. Now 7/4 on a referendum & 7/1 on a UK exit Now bit.ly/u6wr8r twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 20, 2012 There’s been a big political betting rush overnight following the opening by William Hill on Britain’s membership of the EU. Initially one bet had 2/1 that there’d be a referendum before 2020 and the other 10/1 that there’s be a UK exit in the same period. My Tweet sparked off a lot of…
Its a clear choice: vote to allow an extra £4.3 Bn to EU, or back constituents at time of service cuts by saying “No” — Douglas Carswell MP (@DouglasCarswell) October 31, 2012 Government expects to lose EU budget vote specc.ie/TXvV3J — Coffee House (@Spectator_CH) October 31, 2012 If Miliband really wanted to win EU vote he shouldn’t be so aggresively public. Driven wavering Con MPs into Cameron’s arms — Kevin Maguire (@Kevin_Maguire) October 31, 2012 Tory rebels not there yet…
David Herdson looks ahead to 2014 In a little under two years’ time, David Cameron will have to do something no Conservative prime minister has done almost two decades: nominate someone to the European Commission. It’s a decision which is fraught with difficulty on many levels. One possibility speculated upon is that Nick Clegg could get the nod, the thinking being that the move could form part of an amicable separation between the governing parties in the coalition, giving Clegg…
40/1 shot of “the European Union” has picked up the Nobel Peace Prize — Greg Callus (@Greg_Callus) October 12, 2012 Oh dear RT @chrisadamsmkts: Yeuch RT @mnieurozone MERKEL: EURO IS MORE THAN CURRENCY; IT IS A PEACE PROJECT — Fabrizio Goria (@FGoria) October 12, 2012 Looking on the bright side, at least nobody thought of awarding the EU the Nobel Prize for Economics — Greg Hands (@GregHands) October 12, 2012 DC WW1 speech made case for EU nobel prize “However…