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The Illinois senator claims a nine delegate caucus lead? One of the aspects of politics that I find absolutely intriguing is how the contenders and parties deal with the sheer mechanics. Consider the challenge facing Team Hillary and Team Obama yesterday as they sought to manage the 88,000 people who were elected in the caucuses that followed the Texas primary on March 4th. This weekend they attend dozens of district and county conventions at which 7.298 of were be elected…

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Could this be a serious proposition? The author of the classic White House Race Novel, Primary Colours, Joe Klein, has floated the idea of a Gore-Obama ticket in the latest edition of Time magazine. This is from Klein’s piece: “..But let’s play a little. Let’s say the elders of the Democratic Party decide, when the primaries end, that neither Obama nor Clinton is viable. Let’s also assume—and this may be a real stretch—that such elders are strong and smart enough…

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Is PaddyPower’s 4/1 a good value bet? This PaddyPower market on the next scandal to hit one of the presidential contenders has been around for some time but we have not focused on it before. Although quite fun I don’t like this sort of wager because of the lack of definition in working out what will trigger settlement. But looking at the list we do know of one thing that will be happening very soon – the release of the…

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The story of Hillary’s version of a visit to Bosnia in 1996 and how she has been describing it has developed into the big story in the nomination race over the past couple of days. The CBS report above sums it up well interspersing footage taken at the time with what she said last week. The reference to Bosnia arose as part of her case that she has experience. For the moment this moves the story on from Obama’s Pastor…

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Who’s won the lion’s share of Pennsylvania’s newly registered Dems? Since New Year’s Day 218,000 residents of Pennsylvania have filled in forms like the one reproduced above so that they will be eligible to vote in the crucial primary that takes place there on April 22nd. More than 120,000 of them are new voters while a further 86,000 others were existing voters who filled in Question 9 to register as Democrats. In addition 12,000 switched to become registered Republicans. All…

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Creating a measure that puts Hillary ahead With Team Clinton desperately trying to get a foothold to further their argument with the super-delegates an ingenious plan has been put forward by one of Hillary’s key backers, Senator Evan Bayh of Indiana. His idea is simple – that “the super-delegates consider the electoral votes of the states that each of them has won.” He argued: “So who carried the states with the most Electoral College votes is an important factor to…

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