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Category: WHITE HOUSE RACE

How audacious is Obama prepared to be?

How audacious is Obama prepared to be?

Could a daring move could seal the Election early? Very few people would fail to recognise the talents of Senator Obama as a campaigning politician. His oratory is uplifting, his intellect apparent, his energy and youth appealing, and his campaign not only made the most of new technology, but didn’t sacrifice the benefits of old-fashioned door knocking and lawn signs either. He beat one of the toughest opponents imagineable in the primary season, and now enjoys a massive fundraising advantage…

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Are punters right about Hillary’s V-P chances?

Are punters right about Hillary’s V-P chances?

Doesn’t the Bill C complication make it difficult for Barack? As I posted here three weeks ago I am not risking any further cash on either the GOP and Democratic party V-P betting because I’m convinced that this is a mug’s game and it’s very tough to predict either outcome. The final decisions lie with Barack Obama and John McCain personally and, unlike an ordinary election, there is very little to guide us. As can be seen in the panel…

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The favourite pulls out of the Dems V-P race

The favourite pulls out of the Dems V-P race

Will Kathleen Sebelius become the punters’ choice? Big changes in the betting on who will fill the V-P slot alongside Barack Obama following a statement within the past hour by Senator Jim Webb from Virginia. In a statement Webb said: “Last week I communicated to Senator Obama and his presidential campaign my firm intention to remain in the United States Senate, where I believe I am best equipped to serve the people of Virginia and this country. Under no circumstances…

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Could either of these become the greatest Tim in history?

Could either of these become the greatest Tim in history?

Are Kaine (left) and Pawlenty (right) on-track for the Vice-Presidency? “If Henman ever wants to win Wimbledon, he’ll have to change his name. Henman was the first person named Tim to achieve anything at all… The (name’s) association is with ‘timid’ and ‘timorous’ from the Latin ‘timere’: to fear … The real puzzle is that the Tims do as well as they do.” – Martin Amis (as found on InsideTennis) Amis was wrong in at least one respect – the…

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WANTED: more electoral college betting

WANTED: more electoral college betting

Electoral-vote.com Is this the way to capitalise on Obama’s possible big victory? The above map is reproduced from the excellent Electoral-Vote.com which takes all the latest state polls and expresses them graphically on a map of the US. The solid blue states look set to go the Democratic; the solid red ones to the Republicans and the others are leaning in one direction or another or are exactly tied. It’s updated every day and my guess is that we will…

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Obama’s campaign chief outlines his strategy

Obama’s campaign chief outlines his strategy

I found this video by David Plouffe impressive – upbeat yet realisitic about the challenges ahead. It’s also a good guide for those who are betting either way on this race. Latest “Next President” betting. Latest “Winning Party” betting. Mike Smithson

Is this the most crucial picture of the campaign?

Is this the most crucial picture of the campaign?

Will disaffected Hillary supporters now back Barack? By far the biggest question mark that’s been hanging over the Democratic party’s chances in November’s election has been the extent to which fiercely loyal Hillary supporters will switch their support to the presumed nominee. Poll and after poll has shown that a significant proportion of Clinton backers, particularly women in the older age groups, have found it difficult to accept the outcome and have said they would give their votes to John…

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Is it time to start betting on electoral college votes?

Is it time to start betting on electoral college votes?

Could Obama win by more than the bare margin? The latest polling numbers have been good for Barack Obama ahead of his coming battle with John McCain for the White House. Today’s LA Times/Bloomberg poll has a 12% margin which rises to 15% when the the minor candidates of Nader and Barr are added into the mix. Add on to that his decision to avoid public financing for the campaign and the signs are that he’ll be able to outspend…

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