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Category: WHITE HOUSE RACE

From Ohio, the Nuneaton of US politics, the GOP search for its WH2016 nominee has its 1st official event tonight

From Ohio, the Nuneaton of US politics, the GOP search for its WH2016 nominee has its 1st official event tonight

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Chart from Ladbrokes Is Jeb Bush really worth his betting favourite status? Just as the first TV debate on the Labour leadership was in a seat that the party has to win if it is to succeed in a general election so Fox has chosen Cleveland in the key swing state of Ohio for the first TV debate of the Republican Party White House nomination race. This is a big moment in the campaign and throse hopefuls who’ve thrown their…

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Trump has clear lead three days before the Fox GOP candidates debates featuring 20 hopefuls

Trump has clear lead three days before the Fox GOP candidates debates featuring 20 hopefuls

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Trump leading the GOP polling as 20 candidates prepare Thursday's debates. So many standing that Fox stagin 2 debates pic.twitter.com/ZGzLRXeQV1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 3, 2015 But how much is name recognition rather than real support? This is a very big week on the road to the major political event of 2016 – the election of the next US president. Barack Obama will have served two terms and is barred from staying any longer. This means that both parties…

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At some stage the Hillary Clinton email row is going to impact on the nomination betting

At some stage the Hillary Clinton email row is going to impact on the nomination betting

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Surely she’s got less than an 83% chance of becoming the Democratic party nominee? Talk stateside of Joe Biden now seriously considering run for Democratic nomination in light of Hilary Clinton's faltering campaign to date. — Andrew Neil (@afneil) July 24, 2015 For those who’ve not been following the WH2016 race some of the shine is coming off Hillary’s nomination chances because of the email row. This relates to the period that she was Obama’s Secretary of State and the…

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Donald Trump now topping a poll in race for the Republican nomination

Donald Trump now topping a poll in race for the Republican nomination

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Should we take this seriously or is it just a passing fad? With all the focus on Labour’s trials and tribulations as it goes through its leadership election we have not really focused on the coming fight for the White House in 2016 which almost certainly will be the biggest political painting event of next year. On the Democratic Party side things look relatively settled with Hillary Clinton the odds on favourite. The Republican battle looks to be the most…

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We are more than six months away from the primaries yet the betting suggests that WH16 is almost all settled

We are more than six months away from the primaries yet the betting suggests that WH16 is almost all settled

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Another Clinton-Bush encounter? Maybe. Maybe not With all the focus on the British general election and its aftermath we’ve tended to ignore what’s set to be massive political betting event – the 2016 White House race. What I like about them is the whole series of events and elections that lead to the first Tuesday in November when the voters actually decide. With Barack Obama due to step down we have serious battles in prospect for both the Democratic party…

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It is looking like being 1992 all over again

It is looking like being 1992 all over again

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The battle for the White House in 2016 looks like being a repeat of 1992 Sky News say Hillary Clinton is today expected to confirm she is running for the Democratic nomination to be the president of the US, effectively firing the starting gun on the 2016 election campaign. The former Secretary of State and First Lady has long been the runaway favourite to be the party’s candidate for the election next November. It is expected she will make the…

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Exactly a year to go before the WH2016 primaries start and Senator Elizabeth Warren is moving into the frame

Exactly a year to go before the WH2016 primaries start and Senator Elizabeth Warren is moving into the frame

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The campaign to persuade Elizabeth Warren to run for President http://t.co/bXc3sWuggn pic.twitter.com/xERcLp7jlC — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 13, 2015 Could she beat Hillary for Democratic party nomination Last night I had an 8/1 bet on Massachusetts Senator, Elizabeth Warren, to be the Democratic party nominee in next year’s White House race. She’s now second favourite in the betting and looks like she’d be a serious challenger if she decided to go for it. Until now the widespread assumption has been…

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My 50-1 shot for the WH2016 Republican nomination has an overwhelming victory in the CPAC straw poll

My 50-1 shot for the WH2016 Republican nomination has an overwhelming victory in the CPAC straw poll

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Each March in the US there’s the Conservative Political Action Conference attended by many leading GOP figures and at which there is a straw poll on who the delegates favour as party nominee for next time. Last year it was won by Kentucky senator, Rand Paul. This year he did it again by an increased margin. Paul, of course, is the son of Ron Paul who was a leading contender in the 2012 race for the nomination. Back in November…

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