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Category: Hillary Clinton

It’s looking increasingly like Clinton versus Trump

It’s looking increasingly like Clinton versus Trump

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Trump v Clinton – RCP Polling averagehttps://t.co/cEPwWzAzjh pic.twitter.com/chsHtcIIwx — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 16, 2016 After last week’s embarrassment in Michigan the latest round of primaries saw Clinton win in all five states at stake and now looks like the presumptive nominee. The crucial swing state of Ohio which Sanders had been threatening to take went to Clinton by a clear margin. Trump’s road to his party’s nomination looks a little less clear following Kasich’s clear victory in his home…

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After tonight the Republican race could be down to just Trump versus Cruz

After tonight the Republican race could be down to just Trump versus Cruz

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358 delegates at stake tonight in the GOP race Tonight’s a massive one in the fight for the Republican nomination. There are five big primaries with a total of 358 delegates at stake. To put that into context Trump currently leads Cruz by 460 to 370 and 1237 are required for victory. The states are:- Florida (99 delegates) North Carolina (72) Illinois (69) Ohio (66) Missouri (52). What makes this particularly interesting is that from today states can operate on…

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Cruz wins the most delegates tonight but it looks like tonight was goodnight Rubio Saturday

Cruz wins the most delegates tonight but it looks like tonight was goodnight Rubio Saturday

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It looks like the GOP establishment plan to stop Trump, as embodied by Mitt Romney, might be working, but is it too late? Summary of tonight's results. GOP: 2 states apiece for Trump & Cruz. Cruz gets the most delegates. pic.twitter.com/1qPi0H2Lt0 — TSE (@TSEofPB) March 6, 2016 After Super Tuesday Trump moved to an 83% implied chance on Betfair for nomination. Now a 64% implied chance pic.twitter.com/0eo6Tf6u70 — TSE (@TSEofPB) March 6, 2016 A fortnight ago Cruz was 70 on…

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Super Tuesday: Trump and Clinton didn’t quite get the predicted clean sweeps but they’re both stronger favourites

Super Tuesday: Trump and Clinton didn’t quite get the predicted clean sweeps but they’re both stronger favourites

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Results from Real Clear Politics Post Super Tuesday odds from. Ladbrokes pic.twitter.com/6wD953GsxI — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 2, 2016 The expectation before last night was that Trump would probably win all but one of the eleven states. As it turned out Trump took 8. Clinton was expected to have almost a clean sweeps but lost four. This is, of course, a battle not about delegate totals and throughout the night one of the big features of Marco Rubio’s performance was…

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Super Tuesday – the night goes on

Super Tuesday – the night goes on

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Super Tuesday results as at 0200 GMT via @politicalwire pic.twitter.com/lS5iKxpZjw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 2, 2016 YouGov Conservative members leadership poll hasBoris 43%Osborne 22%May 19%Javid 7% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 2, 2016

Only the FBI can stop Hillary now

Only the FBI can stop Hillary now

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But what happens if they do? It could have been very different. Had Bernie Sanders won the caucuses in Iowa and Nevada, Hillary Clinton’s campaign would now be in disarray. Rather than today’s South Carolina primary being a foretaste of the likely landslide she’ll win on Super Tuesday, it would be seen as a must-win vote simply to remain in the race; Super Tuesday itself would most likely have been a closer contest building off the back of a hat-trick…

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Clinton and Trump dominate in the build up to “Super Tuesday” when 12 states decide

Clinton and Trump dominate in the build up to “Super Tuesday” when 12 states decide

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It is hard to argue that this won’t be the November line-up The dramatic developments over the past week in the EU referendum have somewhat sidelined what has been the most crucial week so far in the WH2016 battles for the Democratic and Republican party nominations. In the betting both Hillary and Trump have seen their odds tighten sharply following the latest state contests. Last Saturday Clinton squeezed a victory over Bernie Sanders in the Nevada caucuses while Trump had another hugely emphatic…

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The hurdles Hillary has to surmount are getting higher

The hurdles Hillary has to surmount are getting higher

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She might lose the nomination never mind the general election Eugene Debs must be grinning in his grave. OK, Bernie Sanders isn’t quite the firebrand radical that Debs was a hundred years ago but the notion that there is a credible route for a self-declared socialist to the White House is one that only a few months ago would have been dismissed with derision. Not now. Two polls released yesterday give the Independent Senator for Vermont genuine cause for hope….

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