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Category: Hillary Clinton

CNN reveals document on Russian tower deal signed by Trump contradicting what his lawyer’s been saying

CNN reveals document on Russian tower deal signed by Trump contradicting what his lawyer’s been saying

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A newly obtained document shows President Donald Trump signed a letter of intent to move forward with negotiations to build a Trump Tower in Russia, despite his attorney Rudy Giuliani claiming on Sunday the document was never signed. https://t.co/FqppeMkkVa pic.twitter.com/yZyTiRMYs5 — Cuomo Prime Time (@CuomoPrimeTime) December 19, 2018 With the Russian collusion investigation continuing to dominate US politics CNN has revealed overnight a letter of intent signed by Mr Trump in 2015 on the plan to build a Trump Tower…

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Your timetable for this historic day

Your timetable for this historic day

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How events will unfold state by state November 8th 2016 (all times GMT) 5.00am Dixville Notch and Hart’s Location, New Hampshire The two communities of Dixville Notch and Hart’s Location in the battleground state of New Hampshire, have been voting at midnight for the best part of forty years and between them, give us the first indications of the result. For instance in 2012 Obama polled 28 votes in the two locations, Romney 14 votes and Johnson 1 vote (Obama…

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Clinton punters are getting the jitters with the Electoral College Votes spreads slipping nine on today’s peak

Clinton punters are getting the jitters with the Electoral College Votes spreads slipping nine on today’s peak

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Clinton dropping further on @SportingIndex https://t.co/SlmpdxLl1w … ECV spread market. Latest 311-321, down 9 on peak today — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2016 Latest state polls via @politicalwire pic.twitter.com/rKbh5D0Kvf — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2016 More final national polls via @politicalwire pic.twitter.com/DBIwzEC5sW — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2016 Latest Betfair Clinton 84%Trump 16% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2016

One day to go and Betfair makes Hillary an 83% chance but the markets could be over-reacting

One day to go and Betfair makes Hillary an 83% chance but the markets could be over-reacting

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Why I’ve now taken my Clinton spread betting profits There’s a rule in betting generally that markets have a tendency to over-react to big news. With the White House race we saw Trump price rise sharply to more than 30% when the initial FBI announcement came about opening up the email case a week and a half ago. Overnight we’ve seen the opposite with Trump moving back to the 16-17% range on Betfair as an instant reaction to the no…

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Why YouGov says we should beware of the phantom swings: dramatic bounces in the polls aren’t always what they seem

Why YouGov says we should beware of the phantom swings: dramatic bounces in the polls aren’t always what they seem

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Maybe things aren’t as bad for Clinton after all? YouGov has produced what I regard as must read analysis by Benjamin Lauderdale of the LSE and Douglas Rivers on what it terms phantom polling swings. Thus on the face of it there has been a move from Clinton to Trump in the aftermath of the FBI announcement. Their argument is that this might not be all it seems In essence they are saying is that whenever there’s particularly bad news…

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Clinton versus Trump: What men say their spouses will do and what women in partnerships actually say

Clinton versus Trump: What men say their spouses will do and what women in partnerships actually say

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Via @williamjordann Happy US families ahead of WH2016YouGov US: 33% of men say spouse supports Clinton compared with 45% who say they are pic.twitter.com/3XoNjKLW86 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 1, 2016 The mug of a week tomorrow? pic.twitter.com/hlRuqgeUNd — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 1, 2016

Hillary is now even more than reliant on the First Lady to get her over the line

Hillary is now even more than reliant on the First Lady to get her over the line

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The race looks a lot tighter than it 24 hours ago What’s become almost the best guide to how WH2016 is going is how often it is Michelle Obama who is making the news. She was the star of the Democratic convention in August – an event that was certainly a turning point in the polling. Recently she’s been really forceful on Trump’s issues with women and last night made a big speech alongside Hillary in North Carolina which got…

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