We can’t assume that the next CON leader will enjoy the same personal premium that Cameron has had
ComRes Indy on Sunday/S Mirror poll Sept 19 2015 This could make GE2020 less of a certainty The big known unknown of British politics is what is going to happen when David Cameron, as he’s said he will, steps down and won’t pursue a third term. Quite what the timing will be we don’t know but it is highly likely that a new Tory leader will have emerged by the time of the next election and based on current betting…
UPDATE Corbyn becomes first LAB leader EVER to record negative ratings in his opening Ipsos MORI satisfaction ratings
Ipsos MORI/Standard poll on Cameron vs Corbyn http://t.co/Dx8eHfXtGU pic.twitter.com/TmBGxko6Dt — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 24, 2015 53% tell Ipsos Standard poll that DC "most capable PM" compared with 27% for Corbyn — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 24, 2015
“Call me Dave”: The Ashcroft revelations in the Mail appear to have run out of steam
Thursday's Daily Mail front page:UK drivers to sue VW for billions#tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/gx01M70dY7 — Nick Sutton (@suttonnick) September 23, 2015 The “revelations” from Day 4 of the Daily Mail’s serialisation of Lord Ashcroft’s unofficial biography of Mr Cameron don’t quite have the potency of what we saw earlier in the week. There’s nothing on today’s front page that struck me as being a must read and interestingly the amount of space being allocated is declining. That’s the problem with serialisations…
Damian McBride wonders why there’s been no official denial of the pig story from Team Dave
Ex-Brown spin doctor says Cameron's team made pig story worse by not issuing official denial http://t.co/TYiQixf8yt pic.twitter.com/EgS15hYuqf — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 23, 2015 There’s a fascinating critique in the Guardian this morning by Damian McBride on the way the Cameron team has dealt with the allegations being made by Lord Ashcroft, particularly the one about the pig. He argues strongly that they should have been a total an absolute denial of the story right at the very start and…
Day 3 in the Mail from Lord A looks a bit tamer
@LordAshcroft in the Mail – Day 3 pic.twitter.com/Y3MPI5kcek — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 22, 2015 Wednesday's Daily Mirror front page - Cam: I've been stabbed in back by a little xxxxx #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/id5vrtn3Us — Nick Sutton (@suttonnick) September 22, 2015
The Ashcroft revelations day 2
pic.twitter.com/fL7iZ43wYb — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 22, 2015 Could this be damaging to Osborne’s succession chances? One aspect of this which has a betting implication is what the Ashcroft revelations will do to the next CON leader markets? Is recent months, particularly since the July budget, the sentiment has moved very strongly to the Chancellor, George Osborne. I wonder whether some of the backlash provoked by the tabloid frenzy could impact on him because, after all, Osborne was also a…
This should take the pressure off Mr Corbyn
Front page of the Mail – They are serialising @LordAshcroft‘s biography of Cameron http://t.co/rDA3WrMFVl pic.twitter.com/IDgwhStON8 — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 20, 2015 Cameron reaping what he has sowed, ahem, for not offering @LordAshcroft a job? pic.twitter.com/8gOwSiAPRa — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 20, 2015 Just when you thought politics couldn’t get any weirder. I thought writing “Jeremy Corbyn has been elected Labour leader” would be the weirdest/unlikeliest PB thread I would write this summer. I was wrong, very wrong as this thread features…