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Category: David Cameron

The EURef campaign looks set to come down to Cameron versus the Tory press

The EURef campaign looks set to come down to Cameron versus the Tory press

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Can Dave really win the argument in the face of this? Thanks to Guido for his collage of today’s front pages of the Tory papers following the negotiations on Britain’s future relationship with the EU. This must be the worst set of front pages for Cameron since the media turned on him in July 2007 at the start of Gordon Brown’s honeymoon as Prime Minister. Then the following two months became a nightmare and in September his Ipsos-MORI ratings dropped…

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It’s not inconceivable that in a year’s time there’ll be a new CON leader and Prime Minister

It’s not inconceivable that in a year’s time there’ll be a new CON leader and Prime Minister

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ConservativeHome A referendum BREXIT vote would surely be the end of Cameron There’s is a widespread view that if the EU referendum goes against Cameron then his position will no longer be tenable. If that happens then we could only be months away from the first Conservative leadership contest since 2005 in which the party would not just be choosing a new leader but the next prime minister. With the plan apparently for the referendum this year and the tightness…

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What all CON ministers have been wanting: A definitive guide to where their party voters stand on the EURef

What all CON ministers have been wanting: A definitive guide to where their party voters stand on the EURef

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Now they’ve got the freedom this should help them make up their minds or not The other big political development this week has been the move to allow CON ministers to speak out on either side in the EU referendum campaign. Some of them, no doubt, will consult the polls to see how their general elections voters are viewing thinfs. If CON ministers are doing this, however, they’ll find it very confusing. The chart is restricted solely to CON voters…

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Keiran Pedley asks Is 2016 the year David Cameron loses the Conservative Party?

Keiran Pedley asks Is 2016 the year David Cameron loses the Conservative Party?

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After a turbulent year the Prime Minister enters 2016 stronger than ever writes Keiran Pedley. But will it last? In many respects 2015 was a year of contradictions. On the one hand, it was the year of the political insurgent. UKIP won the best part of 4 million votes at the General Election (though failed to make the breakthrough in seats it had hoped for), the SNP won 56 of 59 seats at Westminster and Jeremy Corbyn swept away the…

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Tim Montgomerie’s right: Current government policy decisions are driven by need not to be unpopular on EURef day

Tim Montgomerie’s right: Current government policy decisions are driven by need not to be unpopular on EURef day

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Airport delay. Tax cred Uturn. Slower cuts… Me for @CapX on No10's pre-referendum campaign https://t.co/mXTlrvH2nz pic.twitter.com/xkRM6je9xo — Tim Montgomerie ?? (@montie) January 1, 2016 Everything for the next few months is about the EU vote One of the great problems with referenda is that by the time we get to polling day the issue might have moved on from the issue on the ballot paper to a vote of confidence in the incumbent government. Arguably the AV vote in 2011…

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The repeated Heathrow delays don’t square with Cameon’s image about being able to take tough decisions

The repeated Heathrow delays don’t square with Cameon’s image about being able to take tough decisions

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There’s a danger, as Gordon Brown found, in being labelled a “bottler” One of the features where Cameron generally polls very well is on the ability to take tough decisions. A couple of months ago Opinium found 40% thought saying ‘being able to take tough decisions’ best described David Cameron compared to 16% saying the same about Jeremy Corbyn. In a pre-GE2015 comparison between Cameron and Boris the PM had a big lead over the mayor on the tough decision…

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Happy tenth anniversary David

Happy tenth anniversary David

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For 70% of Cameron's 10yrs as leader he's been ahead of his Lab opponent, in @IpsosMORI net satisfaction terms pic.twitter.com/qY5wuvQ8CS — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 6, 2015 Today is the tenth anniversary of David Cameron’s election as Conservative Leader, and what a ten years it has been. The above chart neatly encapsulates why David Cameron is seen as the Conservative Party’s strongest asset, for around 70% of his tenure, he has led his Labour opponent on this front. With Cameron not standing…

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The Sunday Trading vote: Dave/Osbo’s problem is not the SNP but the rebellion on the issue by 20 CON MPs

The Sunday Trading vote: Dave/Osbo’s problem is not the SNP but the rebellion on the issue by 20 CON MPs

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Aside from the EU a developing story at Westminster is the decision by the SNP to vote against the planned changes on Sunday trading that Osborne announced in the budget for England and Wales. In Scotland this is a devolved matter with decisions being made at Holyrood. Inevitably this will raise the whole English Votes for English Laws (EVEL) debate because of the devolved nature of such a measure. But before we get too deep into this let’s remember that…

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