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Category: David Cameron

Syria – How it will impact domestic politics

Syria – How it will impact domestic politics

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There was some polling released overnight by YouGov for The Times YouGov/The Times poll finds support for firing UK missiles against Syria fell to 22%, from 25% on Tues opposition grew from 50 to 51% — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 28, 2013   YouGov finds 63% launching missiles at Syria will make things worse than better. 15% Disagree — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 29, 2013   Despite overwhelming opposition to missile strikes in Syria, David Cameron’s personal ratings can give him some…

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Cameron and Clegg The New Blair and Brown?

Cameron and Clegg The New Blair and Brown?

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Yesterday John Rentoul wrote a fascinating piece on the Dave and Nick relationship.   I am told that [David Cameron] has recently had a lot of “quite angry” meetings with Nick Clegg. Where once civil servants liked to compare the polite and mutually respectful dealings of the coalition leaders with the storms of Tony Blair and Gordon Brown’s dysfunctional “coalition”, insiders now say that there are similarities after all. I understand that one of Cameron and Clegg’s disputes was over…

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Which party leader will be the first to step aside?

Which party leader will be the first to step aside?

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Which leader do you think is most likely to go first? David Cameron Ed Miliband Nick Clegg Nigel Farage      Up to the end of July I thought that Ed Miliband was the leader most secure in his post with Cameron and Clegg fighting it out for second place. Now that has changed quite rapidly as we saw with the “Labour Insider’s” guest slot a couple of days ago on how EdM became much more vulnerable with the exit…

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How do the Tories balance their electoral coalition?

How do the Tories balance their electoral coalition?

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Is the immigration debate symptomatic of a larger problem? The furore that has blown up among those who’ve noticed the two news stories connected to immigration this week is a good example of the problems the Conservatives face in winning an outright majority at the next election. On one level, the challenge is not too difficult, despite the boundary review not being completed.  If the economy continues to recover, with either living standards improving or at least the prospect of…

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The immigration poster that symbolises the Dave’s dilemma. Moves to win back UKIP switchers risk alienating 2010 LDs

The immigration poster that symbolises the Dave’s dilemma. Moves to win back UKIP switchers risk alienating 2010 LDs

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The immigration poster at the heart of the CON-LD row. The Tories want it – the LDs are opposed pic.twitter.com/WRIvgDEdWi — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 30, 2013 How the two key swing groups reacted to the campaign As we keep on saying two big things have happened to voters since GE2010: The switch to Labour by 2010 LD voters following their party’s coalition deal with the Tories and the shrinkage of the CON vote as a result of the UKIP…

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In spite of his current travails the betting markets make EdM the leader most likely to hang on to his job during 2013

In spite of his current travails the betting markets make EdM the leader most likely to hang on to his job during 2013

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Dave deemed to be most at risk party leader during 2013 according to PaddyPower See odds expressed as percentages pic.twitter.com/WDp7dFiJiu — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 6, 2013 Dave is the one most at risk As a general rule I think that we over-estimate the chances of leaders being booted out when the going gets a bit tough. Time and time again we’ve seen people hang on even in, apparently, the most difficult of circumstances. The basic fact is that once someone…

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Dave was doing OK at PMQs but he raised Unite just too many times

Dave was doing OK at PMQs but he raised Unite just too many times

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How many people know who Len McCluskey actually is? The most interesting feature of PMQs today was actually the new line of attack from EdM on free schools. Why are the government funding new schools in areas where there are surplus places when at the same time when there are parts of the country with desperate shortages? This got buried under the barrage from Cameron on UNITE and the Falkirk selection. It got a good response initially but then Dave…

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Dave would not have become PM if he’d held out for a minority Conservative government

Dave would not have become PM if he’d held out for a minority Conservative government

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May 7 2010: Cameron making his offer to the LDs On Friday I took part in a conference panel with Paul Staines and the respected city analyst, David Buik. He made a statement which we’ve heard before from Conservative supporters that Cameron’s big mistake was making his offer to the Lib Dems on the day after the last general election. Buik, and others including a number of Tory MPs and commentators, have argued that the minority Tory government would not…

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