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UPDATE: PB-William Hill White House 2012 prediction competition

UPDATE: PB-William Hill White House 2012 prediction competition

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As the final millions of #WH2012 votes continue to be counted Obama moves to a 3.13% lead.bit.ly/S7MJ5m twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 20, 2012 It could be 3 weeks before we know the winning margin It’s two weeks now since Barack Obama won his second terms – but the counting goes on and it could be three weeks before we have a definitive winning margin down to 2 decimal points on which we can award the prizes. In many…

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For entrants to the PB-William Hill White House competition the waiting goes on. It’ll be a few days before we get the final figures

For entrants to the PB-William Hill White House competition the waiting goes on. It’ll be a few days before we get the final figures

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Latest popular vote figures from #WH2012 see here. Obama lead now 2.7%. Still several million votes to come twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 12, 2012 @weslangley The £1000 PB/William Hill WH2012 comp will be settled when we havefinal figs. Ohio doesn’t declare fully until Nov 17 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 12, 2012 @joshdixontweets A number of states accept postal absentee ballots for several days after election provided they are post-marked Nov 6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 12,…

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A Marf prediction cartoon and the PB-William Hill White House competition

A Marf prediction cartoon and the PB-William Hill White House competition

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This cartoon on forecasting the US election will be going up on Politicalbetting.com later. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 6, 2012 How do you think you are going to do? Election day and thanks to Marf for her cartoon on Nate Silver. As many will recall thanks to the generosity of William Hill we were able to launch in September the 2012 White House Race prediction competition. All you had to do was guess the vote share winner gap,down…

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Introducing Daan – winner of the PB/William Hill prize

Introducing Daan – winner of the PB/William Hill prize

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His entry: 32.02% against the actual 32.1% – so pretty Daan close! The PB/William Hill AV prediction competition has been won by Daan Arroo who is a first-year physics student at Durham University. He now receives the prize of £1,000 worth of free bets with William Hill. He tells me that he and voted for Labour and YES and goes on: “While I would have liked to see our voting system changed (although I’d have preferred changing it to STV…

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Who has won the PB William Hill AV prize?

Who has won the PB William Hill AV prize?

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It’s now three days since the result of the AV referendum was announced and I am still waiting for someone to claim the prize of £1000 worth of free bets from William Hill. One of the conditions of the competition was that those who thought they had won should claim to be by email. The thread is here. Unless this is claimed by 2200 on Tuesday night the prize will lapse and we’ll use it in another competition. Mike Smithson

Any regrets about your Willliam Hill/PB AV prediction?

Any regrets about your Willliam Hill/PB AV prediction?

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Who’s going to be the winner of our biggest prize? In early February the bookmakers, William Hills agreed to provide a competition prize of £1,000 of free bets to the PBer who makes the closest prediction to the AV referendum result. All you had to do was record what you thought the YES percentage would be to within two decimal points. The prize will got to the one who gets closest to the figure reported on the BBC website after…

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Enter PB’s 1,000 pound AV referendum challenge?

Enter PB’s 1,000 pound AV referendum challenge?

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Lurkers and posters alike make your predictions now With just twelve weeks to go before the May 5th election the bookmakers, William Hills have agreed to provide a competition prize of £1,000 of free bets to the PBer who makes the closest prediction to the AV referendum result. All you have got to do is to record on the thread below what you think the YES percentage will be to within two decimal points. The prize will got to the…

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AV referendum will fail, say the “PB 104”

AV referendum will fail, say the “PB 104”

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PB 2011 predictions now out The AV referendum is predicted to result in a “No” vote – that’s the main finding from the 2011 Politicalbetting Prediction Competition. 104 of the site’s sharpest pundits took part in PB’s annual crystal ball-gazing exercise, looking at everything from the state of the party leaders at Christmas and the opinion polls, to UK interest rates, the GOP race and the Irish election. Full details of the player-by-player predictions are