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Castle on Carlisle (Lab Defence) Result of last election to council (2014): Labour 29, Conservatives 19, Independents 2, Liberal Democrats 2 (Labour majority of 6) Result of ward at last election (2011): Labour 539 (42%), Liberal Democrats 438 (34%), Greens 135 (10%), TUSC 90 (7%), BNP 84 (7%) Candidates duly nominated: Robert Currie (Con), Richard Hunt (Green), Lawrence Jennings (Lib Dem), Fiona Mills (UKIP), Alan Taylor (Lab) Carlisle was never really a Lib Dem bright spot even at the best…

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New @Survation #indyref poll has Yes 47 (nc) No 53 (nc) — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) September 10, 2014 47.6% plan to vote No a week tomorrow with 42.4% voting Yes. 10% of people remain undecided, 53% No to 47% Yes. http://t.co/z59C5GG4I3 — Survation (@Survation) September 10, 2014 A 10% gap with women voters helped Better Together to their latest poll lead http://t.co/NKBuEN1RvY — The Daily Record (@Daily_Record) September 10, 2014 The Survation poll for the Daily Record is out now….

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Massive polling weekend to come from @ICMResearch in advance of defining week for British constitution. Maybe even something on #indyref — Martin Boon (@martinboon) September 10, 2014 Look at the record from 2011 This is how well ICM did at the 2011 AV referendum – accurate to a fraction of a decimal point pic.twitter.com/8HYgRIIDsB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 10, 2014 Members of YouGov’s panel believe its polls YouGov finds that members of its polling panel believe its polls. pic.twitter.com/2eLKSIZjz8 — Mike…

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YouGov’s weekend figures echoed in new face to face poll The YES and NO campaigns in the Scottish IndyRef are running neck-and-neck after a dramatic swing over the past month, according to the much anticipated new poll from TNS which does its fieldwork face to face. This is the first Indyref poll for more than a month that is not online and gives us something solid in itself as well as a bench mark to assess other polling. The figures…

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London Times will shock Britain and more with reliable new poll on Scottish independence. If right on 18 th vote everything up for grabs — Rupert Murdoch (@rupertmurdoch) September 6, 2014 Scottish independence means huge black eye for whole political establishment, especially Cameron and Milliband. — Rupert Murdoch (@rupertmurdoch) September 6, 2014 Scottish poll reflects world-wide disillusion with political leaders and old establishments leaving openings for libertarians and far left. — Rupert Murdoch (@rupertmurdoch) September 6, 2014

Carfax on Oxford City (Lab Defence) Result: Labour 168 (44% +12%), Liberal Democrats 101 (27% +4%), Greens 63 (17% -9%), Conservatives 24 (6% -12%), United Kingdom Independence Party 24 (6%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 67 (17%) on a swing of 4% from Liberal Democrat to Labour Folkestone, Harvey Central on Shepway (Con Defence) Result: United Kingdom Independence Party 287 (28%), Conservative 224 (22%), Liberal Democrats 198 (19%), Labour 196 (19%) United Kingdom Independence Party GAIN from Conservative with…

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Not too long after the 2012 White House race Sporting Index disappeared from the political betting scene. This was to be much regretted. I’m a huge spread betting fan and just love the way that political futures can be traded like stocks and shares. Well SPIN has found the Scottish Referendum irresistible. It has become a massive, in political betting terms, market and across the board the bookies are reporting high levels of activity. There are two SPIN spread markets:-…

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