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Category: Coalition

UPDATED With postal voting just starting CON lead drops

UPDATED With postal voting just starting CON lead drops

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https://twitter.com/Survation/status/866035811719954433 CON lead down to single figures with YouGov Con 44 (-1) Lab 35 (+3) LD 9 (+1) UKIP 3 (-3) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 20, 2017 The ORB Poll for S Telegraph which was carried out BEFORE CON manifesto launch Con 46Lab 34LD 7UKIP 7 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 20, 2017 Opinium poll carried out BEFORE CON manifesto launch CON 46% -1LAB 33%+1LD 8% =UKIP 5%=GRN 2%= — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 20, 2017 Still to come…

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Team Corbyn’s aim is not to win the election but to keep control of the LAB party

Team Corbyn’s aim is not to win the election but to keep control of the LAB party

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Could matching EdM’s GE2015 vote share of 31.2% really stave off a challenge? I broadly agree with the above analysis of that Team Corbyn’s basic objective is not to win the election but to do enough to keep their man leader. If LAB achieves a GB vote share of 31.2%, which is what the party did in 2015, then they hope the blame for the defeat can be put on the collapse of UKIP not JC. You can see this…

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Are radical policies the answer to Labour’s slump?

Are radical policies the answer to Labour’s slump?

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On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast Leo Barasi talked about the state of the parties and the race ahead with Conor Pope of Progress and political consultant Laurence Janta-Lipinksi. You can listen to the episode below or by clicking here. Despite using Easter to announce several policies, Labour is making little effort to pretend it knows what it would do with power. The party’s website still invites visitors to “help shape our next manifesto” and Corbyn semi-loyalist Dawn Butler suggested…

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Latest locals: CON gains from LAB in Middlesbrough but makes heavy weather against the Greens in Dorset

Latest locals: CON gains from LAB in Middlesbrough but makes heavy weather against the Greens in Dorset

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Coulby Newham on Middlesbrough (Lab defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Conservatives 501 (38% +12%), Labour 468 (35% -3%), Independent 318 (24% +1%), Green Party 32 (2%, no candidate at last election) Conservative GAIN from Labour with a majority of 33 (3%) on a swing of 7.5% from Lab to Con Piddle Valley on West Dorset (Con defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Conservative 303 (61% -8%), Green Party 195 (39% +19%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 108 (22%)…

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It is organisation more than BREXIT that is driving the Lib Dem resurgence

It is organisation more than BREXIT that is driving the Lib Dem resurgence

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The latest local by elections with an LD gain from UKIP on a whopping 26% swing top off what has been a good week for the LDs. Firstly there have been the Rallings/Thrasher and Lord Robert Hayward May elections’ projection suggesting that the yellows are in for a substantial number of gains on May 4th. In addition to that we have had news of the private Crosby Textor constituency polling for the Tories suggesting that the party is set to…

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Reports two people shot outside Parliament

Reports two people shot outside Parliament

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'Explosions' outside UK parliament, two men 'shot by cops' https://t.co/8DoNibqIn6 pic.twitter.com/rht5gnv3yB — The Sun (@TheSun) March 22, 2017 Firearms incident near #Parliament: What we know so far pic.twitter.com/0GP5EeFRaK — Sky News (@SkyNews) March 22, 2017 There was an "almighty crash" as a vehicle hit the railings outside Parliament, a witness tells Sky News pic.twitter.com/ubgSsntZPm — Sky News (@SkyNews) March 22, 2017   Let’s hope this doesn’t escalate TSE  

If the opposition leader wasn’t so feeble May/Hammond would find it harder to ignore specific manifesto commitments

If the opposition leader wasn’t so feeble May/Hammond would find it harder to ignore specific manifesto commitments

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The 2017 version of the pasty tax? At GE2015, less than two years ago, the Conservative made a very specific pledge – if elected there would be no increase in VAT, National Insurance Contributions or income tax. Well today’s big budget announcement from the Chancellor that the self-employed are going to see the NI contributions going up is going to be a hard one to explain and we’ve already seen the start of a storm brewing. One section of the…

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