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Category: Coalition

If you want to compare main party/leader performances from past elections use this chart based on the CON + LAB aggregate

If you want to compare main party/leader performances from past elections use this chart based on the CON + LAB aggregate

No Owen, Corbyn’s GE2017 performance didn’t match Blair’s at GE2001 Last night in a discussion on LE2018 on Newsnight the Oxford-educated Corbyn cheerleader, Owen Jones, sought to suggest that his man’s performance at the 2017 General Election was comparable with what Tony Blair achieved in 2001. He did it by taking the national percentage vote shares rather than looking at seat total or size of majority or some other measure. Certainly LAB got 40.3% at GE2017 compared with Blair’s 40.7%…

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How the Tories are using the the appointment of the new Home Secretary

How the Tories are using the the appointment of the new Home Secretary

The big news of the day has been the appointment by Theresa May of Sajid Javid as the new Home Secretary – the first time a member of the BAME communities has been appointed to one of the main officers of state. Given the background for the demise of his predecessor this appears a smart move which the Tories are hoping will help the win greater support from the non white communities a segment of the electorate where they’ve really…

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Amber Rudd resigns

Amber Rudd resigns

Amber Rudd has resigned — Robert Peston (@Peston) April 29, 2018 Amber Rudd resignation is right. The first memo was bad enough; the second memo made her position untenable. Yes, all these caveats below apply, but she still had to go. https://t.co/rRrh11mFgK — Jane Merrick (@janemerrick23) April 29, 2018 Rudd's return to the backbenches likely means an extra MP for a Customs Union in forthcoming vote. — George Eaton (@georgeeaton) April 29, 2018

The Tories hold on against an SNP challenge in Scotland but lose 2 seats to the LDs in England

The Tories hold on against an SNP challenge in Scotland but lose 2 seats to the LDs in England

Highland on Perth and Kinross (Con defence) Result: Con 1,907 (47% +2% on last time), Lab 239 (6% no candidate last time), Lib Dem 78 (2% -1% on last time), Green 104 (3% -1% on last time), Ind (Taylor) 280 (7%), Ind (Baykal) 12 (0%), SNP 1,466 (36% +1% on last time) Conservative lead over SNP of 441 (9%) on a swing of 0.5% from SNP to Con Total Independent vote: 292 (7% -4% on last time) No candidate elected…

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Why betting on the 2020 Republican nomination is better value than the Trump survival market

Why betting on the 2020 Republican nomination is better value than the Trump survival market

Betdata.io Time for a bet on him not getting the GOP 2020 nomination? While the focus on in the UK has been on the Syrian crisis, Mrs May and the Windrush generation and the ongoing divide within LAB over anti-semitism the news from the United States has been less promising for the survival of the President. The ramifications of the former FBI director, James Comey, going on TV last night together with speculation over what will come out of last…

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Latest PB/Polling Matters podcast: Are you racist? Syrian airstrikes & the Lords report on polling

Latest PB/Polling Matters podcast: Are you racist? Syrian airstrikes & the Lords report on polling

On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran Pedley is joined by Matt Singh (Number Cruncher) and Adam Drummond (Opinium) to discuss: 1) Why voting intention polls and perceptions of party leaders seem to be moving in different directions 2) Reactions to the Windrush scandal and how pollsters deal with sensitive questions around immigration 3) An exclusive survey from Opinium for PB that shows 1 in 10 Brits believe the Russian military accusation that Britain staged the Douma chemical attack in…

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MPs were right to oppose action in Syria in 2013 and may well be right now

MPs were right to oppose action in Syria in 2013 and may well be right now

May must come to parliament and make her case Ed Miliband’s legacy to the world cannot just be measured by his inadvertently handing the Labour leadership to Jeremy Corbyn*. He also played a decisive role in preventing the UK joining proposed action against the Assad regime after Syria used chemical weapons in 2013. The effect of Britain withdrawing from planned operations – and doing so because of opposition in the legislature – was to cause Obama from drawing back from…

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Flotsam and jetsam. Britain’s quiet coastal disaster

Flotsam and jetsam. Britain’s quiet coastal disaster

They say that if the outer 50 kilometres of Australia were to fall into the sea, the population of that island continent would drop by 85%. Britain doesn’t have the large hinterland that Australia possesses, but if Britain were to be attacked by a giant cookie cutter from space, it’s not at all clear that some of the places crimped off would get any less attention than before. The whole idea of going to the seaside is a relatively new…

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