“Who’s to blame for the cuts?” (YouGov) All voters CON voters LAB voters LD voters CON-LD coalition 17 1 39 5 Last Labour government 47 93 6 65 Both 20 3 29 13 Neither 11 2 24 11 “Last Labour government bears most responsibility” (ComRes) All voters CON at GE LAB at GE LD at GE Agree 59 87 32 56 Disagree 36 12 63 40 Will EdM’s party floundering on the “blame” issue? As I have been arguing during…
Poll/publication End date CON (%) LAB (%) LD (%) ICM/NOTW 22/10/10 40 36 16 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 07/10/10 38 34 18 ICM/Guardian 29/09/10 35 37 18 ICM/Guardian 15/08/10 37 37 18 ICM/Guardian 25/07/10 38 34 19 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 24/06/10 41 35 16 ICM/Guardian 20/06/10 39 31 21 ICM/Guardian 23/05/10 39 32 21 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 13/05/10 38 33 21 And the LD total is sharply in contrast with YouGov There’s a new ICM poll just out for tomorrow’s News of the World…
Is this what will determine the public’s reaction? What struck me about Alan Johnson’s response to the statement and the interviews with Labour figures over the past few hours was that their initial line of attack was that the cuts package is being imposed for ideological reasons. The suggestion being that many Tories want a smaller state and they are using the “cover” of the deficit to make changes in the way the that country operates for more than just…
Will Osborne’s big gamble succeed? Well we are here at least – what will almost certainly be the defining day of the coalition government. If Osborne & co have got this right then the this will be seen in an improving economy as we get nearer to 2015 which could produce a second victory for a Cameron-led government, with or without the Liberal Democrats. If the Osborne medicine is wrong then the political consequences for the coalition partners could be…
Guardian Is the coalition being judged on its existence – not its actions? As we start this critical week a Monday morning column that stands is the one by the Guardian’s Julian Glover is which he tries to answer the question of why many on the left seem to hate the Lib Dems so much. He writes: “..The big boys ran the country. The Lib Dems were supposed to yelp admonitions from the sidelines. Labour commissioned the Browne review on…
Suddenly the man who was Chief Secretary to the Treasury for 18 days, David Laws is back in the news again. Earlier in the week he gave evidence before a commons committee on the formation of the coalition and at the end of the month a book with his account of the negotiations will be published. But what are the chances of him becoming a minister again? Political Smarkets have a market up with options of “during 2010”; the first…
Which would his party prefer – help for students or poor children? A key reason, I believe, why there have been just two changes of government during the past 30 years is that whoever is in power has so much control over the news agenda. The ability, day in and day out, to make announcements that grab the headlines is awesome. Not only does it keep your people up-front apparently doing popular things but sophisticated scheduling of stories can often…
Amended First past the post ALL % AV voters FPTP voters WON’T VOTE Heard of it and have broad idea of how it works 65 78 78 35 Heard of it – not sure how it works 18 14 15 22 Never heard of FPTP 17 8 7 43 Alternative vote ALL % AV voters FPTP voters WON’T VOTE Heard of it and have broad idea of how it works 33 48 38 14 Heard of it– not sure of…