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Category: Coalition

Labour lead down 5 in new ComRes phone poll

Labour lead down 5 in new ComRes phone poll

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Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % OTH % ComRes/Independent (Phone) 27/02/11 35 39 12 14 ComRes/Independent (phone) 30/01/11 34 43 10 13 ComRes/Independent (phone) 09/01/11 34 42 12 12 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 29/11/10 36 40 12 12 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 31/10/10 35 37 16 12 But why no AV question? There’s a new ComRes phone poll out for tomorrow’s Indy which shows a four points drop for the reds with a two point increase for the yellows and a one…

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Could moving off the issue rebound on NO?

Could moving off the issue rebound on NO?

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Is “YES to AV” a proxy for government dissatisfaction? This week the NO campaign will focus its attention not on the issue that’s on the ballot paper but on Nick Clegg. The aim is to make the May 5th election a referendum on the Lib Dem leader. Ads have been drawn up with the headline “Say No to President Clegg” together with their claim that a switch to AV will cost £250m – a figure that has been attacked from…

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Will the Libya rescue change the narrative?

Will the Libya rescue change the narrative?

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Has the SAS come to the aid of government? So far the early headlines look pretty good for ministers with the SAS rescue in Libya capturing the imagination of several headline writers. There’s something about the SAS that runs very deep in the British psyche and the reports that their heroism has yet again helped sort out a potentially difficult situation will be devoured eagerly at home. After a tricky week or the government this could not have been better…

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Could Boris versus Ken save the taxpayer GBP32m?

Could Boris versus Ken save the taxpayer GBP32m?

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Why not switch mayoral elections to FPTP? On May 3rd next year more than one in eight of UK adults will be able to vote in what is the biggest election before the general election. At stake is a position that arguably has more political power than anyone apart from the prime minister. With Ken bidding to return to his old job and Boris trying to hang on in less than clement conditions for the blues this will be a…

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Why’s the government looking like a shambles?

Why’s the government looking like a shambles?

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Would it have been better under Coulson? It’s half term, parliament’s not sitting, and most people in the Westminster village, it seems, are taking a short break. But does that explain the total Horlicks that the government’s PR machine is making of current events. There’s a massive global story with strong British links and the government operation should, surely, appear as though it is handling things competently. Most people, I’d suggest, appreciate how challenging it must be dealing with Libyan…

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Who’s got most to worry about with their leader ratings?

Who’s got most to worry about with their leader ratings?

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The above are from this months Ipsos-MORI monitor for Reuters and records the trends in the leadership approval ratings for Dave/Ed/Nick. I tend always to focus on the satisfaction numbers which have been a good predictor for general elections over the three decades that MORI has been asking these questions. The trends are in the charts above. Mike Smithson

Ipsos-MORI has 12 point YES lead amongst those certain to vote

Ipsos-MORI has 12 point YES lead amongst those certain to vote

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And it’s no change on standard voting intention In its first public survey on the coming referendum the February MORI monitor for Reuters has YES on 49% and NO at 37% amongst those who say they are certain to vote. So far we have only seen the headline figures and I’ve no idea about the form or wording of the AV question. The firm always restricts its headline figures to those who say they are certain to vote and we’ll…

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