politicalbetting.com

The phantom recession is about to get real Panic might be too strong a word but the urgency with which ministers and business leaders have called this week for people to return to working in offices and city centres suggests that they’re seriously concerned, and rightly so. Economies are ecosystems and Covid-19 has trampled through Britain’s like a bulldozer through a meadow. A study for Sky News last week found that in early August, worker footfall in cities was just…

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Hi all, We’re moving PB over to a shiny, new server, with lots of additional chrome and bells and whistles and added security and all that lark. It’s highly likely there will be downtime in the next 12 hours. I’ll try and keep it to a minimum, but no promises. Thanks Robert

The betting on Trump is completely out of line with all the indicators Having come out of the Democratic presidential and VP markets with a reasonable profit my attention is now focussed on the main WH2020 winner market and what I consider to be very tempting odds betting that a Trump victory won’t happen. I prefer to lay Trump rather than bet on Biden because it gives me more options. Biden’s age increases the possibility that something might happen and…

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Time for a punt on Boris going early? Quite how much you can trust this is hard to say but it might be worth a bet. I’ve just laid the Boris exit date being July 2022 or later on Betfair at 1.56. This is being denied by Downing Street but then it would be.

Tonight sees the start of the virtual Republican party convention and the big speech is going to come from Trump. Same thing on Tuesday and on Wednesday right till Thursday night with Trump nightly being the star speaker. This is in sharp contrast with normal US convention where you build up to the big event on the final evening being nominee’s big speech. He doesn’t say anything public until that stage. That was how Biden played it last week and…

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Since 2006 there have been, on and off, 7 anti-corruption champions, many of them well-known former Ministers in the twilight of their careers (Straw, Clarke, Pickles). It’s not clear what they have actually done or are meant to do, beyond fine words. Some clarity has since been provided here. The focus is on supporting the government’s international strategy – teaching others how to be as incorruptible as Britain – and reviewing what departments and agencies are doing here. It is…

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