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Category: BREXIT

Corbyn is more in touch on Europe with the voters Labour needs to win back than his MPs or members

Corbyn is more in touch on Europe with the voters Labour needs to win back than his MPs or members

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Embed from Getty Images Most of Labour’s lost voters are Leavers This has not been the best week for Jeremy Corbyn. He lost another Shadow Cabinet member and two other frontbench spokesmen, suffered a sizable rebellion on Europe (whereas, unlike one upon a time, the Tories presented an almost united front), prompting several thousand members to resign; yesterday’s YouGov poll confirmed that the Conservatives’ lead remains in the mid-teens, and Labour suffered a devastating local by-election loss in Rotherham, which…

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Corbyn the rebel has made the wrong call on the Article 50 vote and his party will suffer ever more

Corbyn the rebel has made the wrong call on the Article 50 vote and his party will suffer ever more

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So here we are. The Article 50 bill starts in the Commons with Mr. Corbyn ordering his MPs to back the Tories – something that is going to be remembered. The dilemma was obvious – the majority of LAB voters voted REMAIN but the majority of LAB MPs are in areas that voted LEAVE. This is only problematical if there’s evidence that it would lead to voters switching on the issue and there isn’t. It is also based on the…

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The Tories are looking to Copeland for endorsement of Mrs. May’s plan for BREXIT

The Tories are looking to Copeland for endorsement of Mrs. May’s plan for BREXIT

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But what happens of the blues don’t take the LAB seat on February 23rd? Last night a Copeland voter emailed the above copy of a personalised letter that had come to him from Theresa May. The contents are very revealing about what message the Tories are hoping will come from them taking the seat from LAB in 23 days time. The Tories are looking to the result as a vindication of the strategy outlined in the PM’s speech earlier in…

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The lack of options for Brexit Britain

The lack of options for Brexit Britain

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Embed from Getty Images   Since the Brexit vote, British politics has been curiously alternativeless.  The government rules without any effective opposition.  The Prime Minister was installed by her party as the only imaginable choice once the other would-be contenders had been properly scrutinised.  Theresa May was not particularly inspiring.  But what else could the Conservative party have done? The Prime Minister has spent some months reviewing her options, only to find that she has none.  She has rightly concluded…

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Polling Matters / Opinium survey: Public backs Brexit as the right decision by 52% to 39%

Polling Matters / Opinium survey: Public backs Brexit as the right decision by 52% to 39%

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New polling this week shows Leave voters are convinced they made the right decision as Remainers stumble on leaderless writes Keiran Pedley With Trump and May very much making the headlines this week you may have missed the second Polling Matters / Opinium survey (full data here). This survey sought to measure public perceptions of the Brexit vote seven months on and also the strength of feeling on either side. The overarching message is that the public backs Brexit as…

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Betting on whether or not we’ll have another EU referendum before 2019

Betting on whether or not we’ll have another EU referendum before 2019

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Paddy Power have a market up on whether we’ll have a referendum on a UK-wide referendum on in/out EU membership or on acceptance of new membership terms. Must offer option of membership terms. I’m backing the No side of this bet. I just cannot see Theresa May realistically offering a referendum on these terms, unless she was interested in her tenure as PM rivalling Neville Chamberlain’s or Alec Douglas-Home’s tenure for brevity. The more realistic way I can see a second…

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There’s an argument for saying that REMAINers feel more strongly about BREXIT than Leavers

There’s an argument for saying that REMAINers feel more strongly about BREXIT than Leavers

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BREXIT appears to have the least salience with LAB voters & C2DEs One of those involved in the LDs recent successes observed to me recently they were finding that those opposed to BREXIT have much stronger feelings about the issue than those who aren’t. In many ways this is understandable because they are against the status quo and everything is moving towards the UK leaving the EU. I’ve been pondering over this for some time and have been looking for…

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Viewpoint: Tribal Tim Farron attacks Corbyn and lets TMay off the hook.

Viewpoint: Tribal Tim Farron attacks Corbyn and lets TMay off the hook.

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Labour’s Don Brind says the LD leader has a soft spot for the PM. The Lib Dem leader told Politics Home “In a really peculiar way I felt slightly proud of her when she became prime minister.”  A very odd thing to say, isn’t it? Since you’re asking, Tim – Yes it is a bit odd. Not only is she a Tory. She is the Remainer who failed to campaign in the EU referendum and now, with all the zeal…

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