May rejects claim accepting Tory Brexiter amendments means 'Chequers deal now dead' https://t.co/tzNxFys2Hv — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 16, 2018 Moggsy now appears to running the Brexit show Totally agree with what @DavidHerdson has written here about Mrs May accepting the ERG amendments. pic.twitter.com/FGexPLIib6 — TSE (@TSEofPB) July 16, 2018 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
So: Brexit. I’ve artfully avoided addressing it in my videos so far, but the time has come. Today’s video is about Brexit. Specifically, it addresses the process through which Britain joined the EEC, and then asks what the UK government actually wants from negotiations. Why have there been all these gyrations, when the EU has proposed a CETA/South Korea type relationship already? Be warned: this video will be equally annoying to Remainers and Leavers. Robert Smithson Robert tweets as ‘@MarketWarbles’…
Reflections on the dramatic events When I was a child, we used to visit my maternal grandparents most Sundays. I learned my love of card games and Scrabble there, including the importance of seating: my grandpa would cheat to ensure my grandma won (she was a shocking loser and he knew which side his bread was buttered). Sunday tea was an institution, my grandma slipping Ben her fat golden Labrador little treats from her plate when she thought no one…
If TMay loses a confidence vote then she can’t be a contender It is perhaps not surprising given the scale of the story at the time was but whenever people think of Conservative leadership contests and disposal of incumbents they look back to 1990 when Mrs Thatcher had to depart. Hence that is the only reason, I suggest, that Paddy Power in the latest range of markets following the David Davis resignation have included Theresa May as a potential candidate…
He was the 4/1 favourite for next exit The big UK political news overnight is that the BrexSec and former favourite to succeed TMay, David Davis, has resigned as a minister following his disagreement with the PM’s approach to Brexit. Another of his ministers, Steve Baker, has gone with him. This plunges the party into its biggest crisis since Mrs. May failed to hang onto to the Tory majority in June last year. The move happened just before midnight and…
Sources confirm letters calling for vote of confidence in @theresa_may leadership going in to @Graham__Brady, chair of 1922. Tory Brexiters very unhappy – accuse PM of traducing those who voted to leave EU. This appears to be spontaneous, not coralled by ERG & @Jacob_Rees_Mogg — Robert Peston (@Peston) July 8, 2018 So far Peston hasn’t moved the PM exit betting ITV’s Political Editor, Robert Preston, is Tweeting that there might be a confidence move about to take place against TMay….
For the last year or so, one of my favourite betting markets has been the market on Betfair on whether Britain will leave the EU by 11pm on 29 March 2019. I wrote about it in February and it has been a market that I have returned to regularly over the intervening months. The price on Yes, Britain will officially leave by that date has shortened considerably since February and as I write last traded at 1.83. I still think…
The Cabinet has signed up to the May plan for Brexit. Question we don’t yet know the answer to – why did Brexiteers agree to a plan they dislike? Is it because they think it will be rejected by the EU? If so, May has won battle but war far from over. https://t.co/y5moqza7hs — Nick Robinson (@bbcnickrobinson) July 6, 2018 Breaking: PM says Cabinet has agreed "a UK-EU free trade area which establishes a common rule book for industrial goods…