Browsed by
Category: BREXIT

Longstanding Brexiteer, Peter Oborne, says now is not the time to leave the EU

Longstanding Brexiteer, Peter Oborne, says now is not the time to leave the EU

Comments 0 Comment

Will this be influential over the next crucial few days? The prominent right wing commentator and strong Brexiter, Peter Oborne, has published an article raising doubts and some powerfil arguments over whether now is the right time to leave. Among his key points:- “I was a strong Brexiteer. Now we must swallow our pride and think again The economic arguments for Brexit have been destroyed by a series of shattering blows Britain’s departure from the EU will be as great…

Read More Read More

D’Hondt You Want MEPs? Who will win the most European Parliament seats in the United Kingdom?

D’Hondt You Want MEPs? Who will win the most European Parliament seats in the United Kingdom?

Comments 0 Comment

This market by Ladbrokes is very intriguing, because as if seems likely, the UK takes part in the European elections there’s going to be quite a few betting opportunities. I don’t think Labour or the Tories should be the favourite for this market, the latest poll from YouGov shows why the Tories and Labour aren’t really loved and led by unloved leaders. The don’t know/won’t say alliance now has more support than the Prime Minister and Leader of the Opposition…

Read More Read More

If we get to a Peterborough by-election it’s going to be a corker of a battle

If we get to a Peterborough by-election it’s going to be a corker of a battle

Comments 0 Comment

Currently, as I’m sure we are all aware, there is a recall petition taking place in Peterborough seeking to get a by-election following the conviction and jailing of the incumbent MP who won the seat for LAB from the Tories at the last general election. The petition closes on May 1st and we should know within a couple of days of that whether 10% of the electors in the constituency have demanded that their MP be recalled. If it does…

Read More Read More

Selling time. What passes for Theresa May’s strategy

Selling time. What passes for Theresa May’s strategy

Comments 0 Comment

Picture credit: Sunil Prasannan We spend all our lives buying and selling time. We sell our time to employers. We trade time for convenience when deciding where we live and what we are prepared to pay for that. Oddly, we talk of buying time but we never talk of selling time, even though we do both. This is a gap in the English language. For the last few months that has been all that Theresa May has been doing. After Theresa…

Read More Read More

On the betting markets a no deal Brexit moves from a 37% chance on Monday to a 21% chance now

On the betting markets a no deal Brexit moves from a 37% chance on Monday to a 21% chance now

Comments 0 Comment

Chart of Betfair market from betdata.io How TMay’s speech last night impacted on the betting The top UK political betting market at the moment is the above one on whether there is actually going to be a no deal brexit in 2019. The chart is based on the Betfair Exchange where the bookmaker does not set the odds but punters are trading with each other. The big message from Theresa May’s dramatic invitation to Jeremy Corbyn yesterday evening was that…

Read More Read More

The Brexit deadlock: Some group has got to shift bit it is not clear who that will be

The Brexit deadlock: Some group has got to shift bit it is not clear who that will be

Comments 0 Comment

Who is going to fold first? After another deadlocked day at Westminster the time is running out before the April 12th deadline and if the UK is not to slip out of the EU then without a deal then some grouping has got to change their previously set out strong position. Let’s start with the EU itself. Will it hold to it’s now extension from the April 12th without a firm plan from the UK or will it actually relent…

Read More Read More

The chaos continues as MPs reject all Brexit options

The chaos continues as MPs reject all Brexit options

Comments 0 Comment

No option passes in Commons votes Results here: https://t.co/7R7Ty34J5g — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) April 1, 2019 Basically, it's May's deal, No Deal or General Election. — Theo Usherwood (@theousherwood) April 1, 2019 You get the feeling Parliament couldn't organise a farting contest in a baked bean factory. https://t.co/ueCaoZuEAy — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 1, 2019 https://twitter.com/tpgcolson/status/1112826601308385280 So tonight we’ve seen Steve Baker on verge of tears about rebelling against party, Nick Boles similarly emotional as he quits party; others facing…

Read More Read More

The pressure mounts on TMay with a divided cabinet and 11 days to go

The pressure mounts on TMay with a divided cabinet and 11 days to go

Comments 0 Comment

Chris Grayling ready to put his job on the line So another day when all the focus is on Westminster and Mrs. May’s cabinet as they pitch in with their own positions to try to influence this massive decision for the future of the UK. TMay is already in a weakened position with much less control of the Westminster agenda following the procedural defeat which put so much extra power in the hands of MPs This is how Sam Coates…

Read More Read More