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Category: BREXIT

“Bollocks to Brexit!” will be a net vote gainer not a vote loser for the LDs

“Bollocks to Brexit!” will be a net vote gainer not a vote loser for the LDs

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Lots of talk over the past 24 hours about the Lib Dem slogan on one of its leaflets for the European parliament election campaign. Clearly the word “bollocks” is one that is on the very margins of what is acceptable in polite society but it does get home the message well. Also “Bollocks to Brexit” has the added advantage of alliteration and it is very clear where the party stands. This in sharp contrast to Corbyn’s LAB which is hamstrung…

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Punters make it a 30% that Brexit won’t happen before 2022 or not at all

Punters make it a 30% that Brexit won’t happen before 2022 or not at all

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange Leaving in the July-Dec 2019 period remains favourite but only a 38% one With two weeks to go before the Euro elections I thought it useful to look at the betting on where Brexit stands at and the market featured is on when it will happen if at all. This might be wishful thinking on the part of those who wish Brexit won’t ever happen but the betting price on the Brexit…

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It takes some chutzpah to argue that CON & LAB local losses were down to Brexit but that GRN and LD gains weren‘t

It takes some chutzpah to argue that CON & LAB local losses were down to Brexit but that GRN and LD gains weren‘t

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I’ve just come across an article by Mike Hume on Spiked online that argues that Brexit was the main reason why the Tories and LAB did badly in the local elections last Thursday. But the same article goes on to argue by implication that this effect did not help the Lib Dems and the Greens, both strong pro-remain parties, to achieve all their gains. I’d respectively suggest to Mr Hume that you can’t have one without the other. This is…

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What we are seeing in British politics at the moment could be “The New Normal”

What we are seeing in British politics at the moment could be “The New Normal”

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So, here we are, losses for both main parties, laceratingly large for the Tories, some in surprising places, the Lib Dems and the Greens cock-a-hoop, the NOTA party making a fine showing and the inevitable calls for a change of leadership  – with May more at risk, what with being heckled in Wales and facing an EGM in June. (Perhaps Trump could orchestrate proceedings during his forthcoming visit. He has experience in saying “You’re fired!” after all – with his British…

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New Rules. Britain’s changing constitution

New Rules. Britain’s changing constitution

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Sometimes it only takes a small change to alter the shape of things radically.  In Backroom Boys by Francis Spufford, the developers of the 80s computer game Elite explained that the introduction of a scoop for a tiny dollop of memory transformed the possibilities, allowing players to become pirates as well as traders. The Fixed Term Parliaments Act 2011 is a similarly small change and similarly it allows MPs to play as pirates as well as traders. The Act transferred…

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TMay to still be PM and the UK still in the EU at the end of the year?

TMay to still be PM and the UK still in the EU at the end of the year?

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I don't bet on politics, but colleague has refused to take 50p on UK to be in EU and May to be PM at the end of this year — John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) May 2, 2019 I asked Ladbrokes to quote odds and they said 6/1 This Tweet from the Indy’s John Rentoul appeared on election day and I’ve been musing over it ever since. Could at the end of the year the UK still be in the EU and…

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Why it’s going to be harder than many think to view the Euros as a 2nd Brexit referendum

Why it’s going to be harder than many think to view the Euros as a 2nd Brexit referendum

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There’s widespread confusion on where each party stands The above chart is from some new polling issued by YouGov this morning which tries to find out how voters view each party’s stance on brexit. Apart from Farage’s Brexit party some of the answers are quite extraordinary and suggest that the parties are not getting over their positions as strongly as they might be. Taking the Tories first just 37% of those polled thought it was Pro brexit with 24% being…

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