Browsed by
Category: Boris

The White House Race, the referendum and the political bets of the week in the PB/Polling Matters TV Show

The White House Race, the referendum and the political bets of the week in the PB/Polling Matters TV Show

Comments 0 Comment

Our fourth pilot TV show sees Keiran Pedley of Polling Matters and myself welcome the Labour peer and Oxford academic, Lord (Stewart) Wood of Anfield and the media relations director of William Hill, Graham Sharpe. The issues covered were how well Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton did in the Super Tuesday primaries; whether they are now certainties to be their party nominees; the EU referendum campaign and the prospects of Boris becoming Cameron’s successor. Also the third strand of this…

Read More Read More

The Bullingdon boys go into battle and it ain’t going to be pretty

The Bullingdon boys go into battle and it ain’t going to be pretty

Comments 0 Comment

Dave v Boris will dominate the next four months Cracking Cameron performance today in Commons. Sure a PM has the advantage on these occasions, but he used it. Boris looking a bit crumpled. — Iain Martin (@iainmartin1) February 22, 2016 We’ve always known that Dave is at his best when his back is to the wall and that’s how it must have seen this morning with the massive media coverage of the decision by Boris to back LEAVE. His performance…

Read More Read More

Boris Johnson can lead Britain out of Europe – if he’s serious about it

Boris Johnson can lead Britain out of Europe – if he’s serious about it

Comments 0 Comment

But if not then he might have made a big mistake writes Keiran Pedley So its official, Boris backs Brexit. After a period of intense speculation in Westminster, the Mayor of London has come off the fence and announced that he will campaign for Britain to leave the E.U.  Make no mistake, this is a major coup for the ‘Leave’ campaign which, until now, has been widely derided for the apparent lack of credible leaders within its team. In the…

Read More Read More

Boris backs Brexit but will it have an impact if he’s not going to be that active?

Boris backs Brexit but will it have an impact if he’s not going to be that active?

Comments 0 Comment

This could be a serious mistake if he isn’t going to be that active, he’s annoyed the PM, and will frustrate the party activists who are Outers, thus damaging his chances to succeed Cameron Watch: Boris Johnson's confirms he's backing the campaign for Britain to leave EU https://t.co/pxwMk12vat https://t.co/AhFCALwvnl — Sky News (@SkyNews) February 21, 2016 Boris: I won't take part in endless TV debates against people in my party or share a platform with Farage and Galloway — Adam…

Read More Read More

As well as a unique hair-style Trump has another thing in common with Boris – being overstated in the polls

As well as a unique hair-style Trump has another thing in common with Boris – being overstated in the polls

Comments 0 Comment

Real Clear Politics All but one of the Iowa pollsters had inflated Trump numbers: All had deflated ones for Cruz and Rubio One of the things that I’ve written about before here is that Boris gets over-stated by the polls when tested against real election results. It happened to quite a degree at the last London mayoral election and we saw a similar pattern overnight in the results from Iowa. The table above from Real Clear Politics sets the data…

Read More Read More

It is a mistake to assume that all polling bias is against the Tories

It is a mistake to assume that all polling bias is against the Tories

Comments 0 Comment

Remember what happened at GE2010 and the last London Mayoral election This week’s polling news is going to be dominated by the publication tomorrow of the inquiry into what went wrong the GE2015 polls when all the firms undershot the Tory share by big margins. Unfortunately I’m at a memorial service tomorrow and won’t be able to attend the big event. In the build up we’ve started seeing some interesting explanations including one which suggests that CON voters are much…

Read More Read More

Boris the favourite as betting opens on who’ll lead the EU LEAVE campaign

Boris the favourite as betting opens on who’ll lead the EU LEAVE campaign

Comments 0 Comment

Ladbrokes betting on who will lead the LEAVE campaign pic.twitter.com/3eTZQK2Yc8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 2, 2015 Boris trails Nigel and Theresa in the polling As the referendum gets closer a key decision which could have huge impact on British politics in all sorts of ways is is who will lead the OUT campaign. Survation carried out some polling for LEAVE.EU and found:- Theresa May 22% Nigel Farage 18% Boris Johnson 14% These findings are somewhat surprising. I’d have expected…

Read More Read More