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Category: Boris

CON voters give Dave a net 24% lead over Boris on whose EU statements/claims are trusted

CON voters give Dave a net 24% lead over Boris on whose EU statements/claims are trusted

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Why LEAVE has to undermine the PM It is said, though I have no independent verification, that the Lynton Crosby analysis of the referendum is that the outers have to totally undermine Cameron’s reputation if they are to have a chance. With Corbyn now coming off the fence which should encourage the Labour IN vote current CON voters are a major battleground between IN and OUT. The polls vary but all have LEAVE ahead amongst this voting segment but the…

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If next CON leader betting prices are indicator then Boris leadership ambitions not helped by BREXIT campaign

If next CON leader betting prices are indicator then Boris leadership ambitions not helped by BREXIT campaign

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Boris down sharply on the Betfair next CON leader market. Was a 32% chance at start of month now 22% pic.twitter.com/Bq7X1RSOMT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 10, 2016 So far punters not convinced that Cameron is going soon. No money at all matched in past 24 hours on Betfair's Cameron exit date market. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 10, 2016 Asking @BorisJohnson if it's morally wrong to invest in offshore trusts and funds. #c4news @cathynewmanhttps://t.co/Cu3BeYVZzU — Channel 4 News (@Channel4News)…

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We need to re-think next CON leader betting following Cameron’s rough week on his financial affairs

We need to re-think next CON leader betting following Cameron’s rough week on his financial affairs

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SUNDAY TIMES LEAD: Now Cameron could avoid inheritance tax on 200k gift, by @ShippersUnbound #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/joPKCITJNC — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) April 9, 2016 Dave’s successor will have had a much more humble upbringing One consequence I’d suggest of the past week’s revelations relating to David Cameron is that his successor will come from a very different sort of background. Next time the party will not choose a “posh boy who doesn’t know the price of bread” to use the Nadine…

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Gove pushes Boris out off the top slot in ConHome’s latest next CON leader survey

Gove pushes Boris out off the top slot in ConHome’s latest next CON leader survey

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ConHome Was the Mayor’s Brexit move a mistake? The big political betting story this lunch time is that Boris Johnson has been pushed out of the top slot in the Conservativehome survey of next.com leader preferences by Michael Gove. Boris is, of course the long-standing betting favourite to succeed David Cameron but he’s been having a bit of a rough time during the BREXIT campaign. The mayor’s flippant and seemingly arrogant approach at a recent Commons Treasury select committee session…

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Boris Johnson is having a deeply unimpressive referendum campaign so far

Boris Johnson is having a deeply unimpressive referendum campaign so far

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w21s5r2nTlA Boris Johnson engaging in a level of flip flopping that would make even Andy Burnham blush. pic.twitter.com/nAlfuPrG3a — TSE (@TSEofPB) March 27, 2016 If he wants to be leader, he needs to improve sharply in the next three months just to make the final two of the next Tory leadership contest. Look at the above video from Boris Johnson’s appearance at the Treasury Select Committee earlier on this week, where his past comments/hyperbole on the EU came back to…

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So far Cameron just has the edge on trust in the mighty battle between him and Boris

So far Cameron just has the edge on trust in the mighty battle between him and Boris

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The CON voter split will be crucial One of the best non-voting intention polling indicators to the referendum could well be the question above used by ComRes at the weekend in its IoS Sunday Mirror online poll. Inevitably the battle is being presented in the media as a mighty clash between the Prime Minister and the Mayor and the question of who is trusted most to act in the interests of Britain is central. Overall but only by a whisker…

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LAB close the gap by 5 points with ComRes online to just 9% behind

LAB close the gap by 5 points with ComRes online to just 9% behind

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CON 38%-3 LAB 29%+2 LD 7%-2 UKIP 16%+1 GRN 4%+1 The Boris versus Dave findings An encouraging finding for Cameron and one which could be crucial that CON voters are twice as likely to say they trust the PM more than the Mayor to do what is best for Britain (54% say they trust Cameron more v 27% who trust Johnson more). EURef findings but no voting intentions ComResRes voting intwntion numbers have in all case but one come from…

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Trump & Boris: Both blond, both born in New York and both under-perform in the polls

Trump & Boris: Both blond, both born in New York and both under-perform in the polls

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There’s a interesting post tonight by Ron Faucheux on the US site The Hill highlighting the fact that in recent primaries Donald Trump has been doing worse than the polling. He writes: ” A comparison of pre-primary polls to the actual ballots cast on March 1 showed clear evidence of Trump’s eleventh-hour slippage: The last two polls taken in Virginia gave Trump an average 14 percentage point lead. On primary day, he won by a mere 3 points. The last…

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