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Trump’s Christmas actions come under the most furious attack from CNN’s Chris Cuomo

Trump’s Christmas actions come under the most furious attack from CNN’s Chris Cuomo

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Deferring pay for the military, pausing emergency COVID help and a record number of pardons for criminal who helped him The final month of the beaten incumbent US President’s looks set to be how he’ll be remembered. With so many millions of Americans being affected this could have an impact if he does decide to run at WH2024. It could also undermine the Republicans in the the critical Georgia runoffs on January 5th. The fury of Cuomo is quite extraordinary…

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Laying Brian Rose in the London Mayoral race – the best bet out there at the moment

Laying Brian Rose in the London Mayoral race – the best bet out there at the moment

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Thanks to Quincel (@PipsFunFacts) for this tip which it is hard to disagree with – betting against Brian Rose – the unexpected second favourite in the London mayoral race. He’s currently rated as a an 11/12% chance on the betting exchanges – Smarkets chart shown above. Brian Rose is former banker and founder, host and CEO of London Real a podcast and YouTube channel that has nearly 2 million subscribers. That figure compares with his Twitter following of just 20k. He promises to…

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With just eight days to go before the end of the Brexit transition the majority of those polled say they’d support an extension

With just eight days to go before the end of the Brexit transition the majority of those polled say they’d support an extension

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My guess on this one is that there will be some conclusion before the year end with Johnson preferring to resolve this according to the original timetable. After all his winning slogan at GE2019 was “Get Brexit Done” – though whether he is happy with a no deal I am not convinced. The current issues with cross-channel trucks is probably a taster for what a no deal might look like and, indeed, Michael Barnier, is making this point in seeking…

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On the Smarkets exchange it’s a 14% chance that Trump will still be in the White House after January 20th

On the Smarkets exchange it’s a 14% chance that Trump will still be in the White House after January 20th

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With 29 days to go he’s still trying to hang on The political story that most dominates my thinking at the moment is what is going on in the US and whether Trump will actually leave the White House quietly as the US constitution requires at noon Washington time on January 20th. There is little doubt that Trump is desperate to hang on in there and could try to mount very dangerous methods constitutionally in which to ensure that he…

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The Georgia run-offs – almost as important as the Presidential election itself

The Georgia run-offs – almost as important as the Presidential election itself

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YouTube video of Lincoln project ad The unfinished business from November 3rd Dan Pfeiffer: has it right here: It is almost impossible to overstate the stakes in the two January 5th runoff elections in Georgia. If Democrats win both races, Joe Biden has a chance to pass his economic, health care, and climate plans. He will be able to confirm his cabinet and appoint judges. Mitch McConnell will be nothing more than a dour annoyance — a grumpy speed bump…

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Punters losing confidence that there’ll be a deal before the end of the year

Punters losing confidence that there’ll be a deal before the end of the year

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While everything is so focused on the pandemic punters on the Smarkets betting exchange are becoming less confident that Johnson will be able to reach a deal in the few days that are left. Clearly with all the other distractions and the organisational constraints that COVID leads to it must be a massive challenge for ministers as they move into the EU end game. From the reports we have the big issue remains fishing and the accessibility of EU nations…

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