I’ve said for a while Susan Hall was congenitally a terrible candidate for London and this poll backs up that feeling. Those hoping ULEZ would damage Khan are going to be disappointed by this poll. This poll has a London Westminster voting intention which sees a Labour lead of 35%, at the 2019 general election Labour led the Tories by 16.1% in the capital which means the Tories are on course for a world of hurt in London at the…
Currently Donald Trump is the betting favorite to be the winner of the 2024 presidential election. He is marginally ahead in the betting of the incumbent Joe Biden One of the factors that doesn’t seem to be taken into account is that there are strong legal moves that would effectively stop Trump from being on the ballot in several states. This has already happened in Colorado. A huge hurdle that Trump will have to surmount is the 14th amendment to…
This might reinforce the view that Sunak is out of touch and leads an out of touch government whereas Starmer is tribunus plebis and so is his cabinet. The fact so many of Starmer’s cabinet went to state school is likely to explain their war on brilliant parents who contribute their taxes to state education but send their children to private schools as not to take away resources from the less fortunate. TSE
Remember Ukraine ? Since 7th October the war in the East of Europe has been pretty much forgotten. The Grim Reaper has probably taken a bigger toll in October in Ukraine than he has in the Middle East but that’s no longer news. And still the fighting goes on. The Russians have been throwing lots of their troops into attacks to absorb Ukraine’s efforts. The attacks have a times resembled the second world war with barely trained troops attacking in…
The pandemic might be over but the legacy of it is likely to have a suboptimal impact on the Tories. TSE
As discussed in Part One, the Greens have gained impressive local council bases the last couple of years and are targetting three new seats at the 2024 election to try and grow their Parliamentary presence. However, while the Greens are clearly ascendant in their new target seats, albeit not to great heights in North Herefordshire, the same is not true in Brighton Pavilion. Losing Lucas Since winning the seat in 2010, Caroline Lucas has built a formidable majority which now…
It rarely makes headlines outside of The New Statesman, but the Greens have had (by far) their best period ever since 2019. Since that election the Greens have set new records in: By-elections (First ever double-digit vote share, plus two of only four deposits saved in their history); Local elections (Trebling their local council base since 2019, and increasing it almost 10 times from the pre-2019 level); Mayoral Elections (Record vote share in London, and everywhere else where they ran…
I suspect because Starmer is seen as a winner, most Labour councillors will not kick up too much of a fuss on the one issue they aren’t satisfied on. Proper left wingers want to be in power to deliver change rather than perpetually protesting in opposition, the latter is like a lot like peeing your pants, it’ll give you a warm feeling but puts everyone else off. TSE