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Author: TSE

Corporeal asks: Are the Kippers a red herring?

Corporeal asks: Are the Kippers a red herring?

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In case you didn’t notice there was a by-election the other day in Eastleigh, and UKIP did rather well (as did some of our punters). So now is the time to glance ahead at the markets for UKIP at the next general election, namely whether they will win a seat, and their percentage of the overall vote. There’s been quite a colourful cast of parties who’ve had an election night triumph somewhere at sometime: Communists, Respect, Green, the Common Wealth…

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Are we entering the twilight of the leadership of Dave

Are we entering the twilight of the leadership of Dave

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    Are we entering the twilight of the leadership of Davewww7.politicalbetting.com/?p=56969 twitter.com/TSEofPB/status… — TSEPB (@TSEofPB) February 28, 2013 Michael Crick, the other day tweeted From talking to more voters today I increasingly think UKIP could pull of a surprise victory in Eastleigh.They will certainly do very well — Michael Crick (@MichaelLCrick) February 26, 2013 Whilst the Lib Dems were said to be Lib Dems “feeling good” about Eastleigh but admit going to be “blooming close”. Senior source says they…

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Lib Dems move to a 5 point lead in Eastleigh with Populus

Lib Dems move to a 5 point lead in Eastleigh with Populus

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  Lib Dems 33 (+2) Conservatives 28 (-6) UKIP 21 (+8) Labour 11 (-8) The changes are from the Populus poll for Lord Ashcroft earlier on this month, this is not a strict comparison, but for illustrative purposes, PBers can decide for themselves, if they prefer this approach or not. Other salient points from the poll But the Populus poll suggests that the election will be swayed by local issues rather than national figures. Fewer than two in five (37…

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The PB Thursday night local elections special

The PB Thursday night local elections special

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Harry Hayfield previews the contests   Gainsborough East on West Lindsey (Lib Dem defence) Last Council Election (2011): Con 21, Lib Dem 11, Ind 3, Lab 2 (Conservative majority of 5) Last Election Result (2011): Lib Dem 1,532 (57%) Con 745 (28%) Lab 422 (16%)   West Lindsey is in the heart of the Lincolnshire Wolds and as such you would expect it to be a Conservative bastion (indeed the parliamentary constituency of Gainsborough is one of the safest Conservative…

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Ipsos Mori Political Monitor for February

Ipsos Mori Political Monitor for February

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Ipsos-Mori have published their political monitor for February. The Voting Intention Conservatives 30 (n/c) Labour 42 (-1) Liberal Democrats 7 (-1) UKIP 9 (n/c) The changes are from last month. Labour will be delighted to maintain a double digit lead with Mori. For the Liberal Democrats, they have fallen to their lowest poll rating with Mori since April 1990. What this means for the Eastleigh by-election, in one respect, polling like this may help Nick Clegg and his party, if…

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Corporeal on David Cameron and the NHS

Corporeal on David Cameron and the NHS

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The Three letters of David Cameron When David Cameron won the Conservative party leadership contest he said he could state his priorities in three letters: NHS. More than any other issue, from the Big Society to hugging huskies in hoodies, he’s tried to connect himself to the state of healthcare in this country. While prescribing declaring cuts had to take place in almost every other department he declared he would protect the NHS by ring-fencing its budget. It is a…

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Is this further proof of why UKIP are not capable of winning Parliamentary seats

Is this further proof of why UKIP are not capable of winning Parliamentary seats

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According to the Telegraph, UKIP has sent out the above leaflet. Saying Eastleigh deserves better. It certainly does. The leaflets have been put through doors in Colden Common, which is not part of the Eastleigh constituency. Given the gimmicks UKIP have used in the past, it isn’t surprising they finished third in a two-horse race in Buckingham. What makes this mistake in Eastleigh even more alarming for UKIP was that Mike Smithson was told last week. #Eastleigh, I’m told, is…

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