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Leaked private polling shows Clegg losing Sheffield Hallam and finishing third behind the Tories!

Leaked private polling shows Clegg losing Sheffield Hallam and finishing third behind the Tories!

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New PB thread on leaked private ICM polling showing Nick Clegg losing Sheffield Hallam. http://t.co/c8kw0erFTJ pic.twitter.com/f698czzOzf — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) May 26, 2014 If there’s one thing that gets people like us excited and interested is a leaked internal/private polling, especially ones conducted by ICM. The polling finds The electoral oblivion apparently confronting the Liberal Democrats as led by Nick Clegg was underscored on Monday by leaked opinion polls in four seats showing that the party will be wiped out. Commissioned by a…

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As the results start to come in it’s a great night for UKIP

As the results start to come in it’s a great night for UKIP

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For the Lib Dems, it could be their worst nightmare, as Tim Farron talks about them having zero MEPs, whilst Doncaster is won by UKIP, David Herdson suggestion from last week isn’t so outlandish now is it? North East results: LAB 2 (+1) UKIP 1 (+1) CON 0 (-1) LD 0 (-1) Turnout 31% #Vote2014 — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) May 25, 2014 Eastern results: UKIP 3 (+1) CON 3 (NC) LAB 1 (NC) LD 0 (-1) Turnout: 35% #Vote2014 —…

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Looks like the knives are out for Clegg

Looks like the knives are out for Clegg

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INDEPENDENT ON SUNDAY: Lib dem MPs in bid to oust Clegg #tomorrowspaperstoday #BBCPapers pic.twitter.com/vHrj8BqXNS — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) May 24, 2014 The Independent on Sunday and others are reporting “The Deputy Prime Minister, Nick Clegg, faces a showdown with Liberal Democrat MPs who are demanding that he consider his position as party leader in the wake of the disastrous European and local election results. A block of unnamed MPs are poised to demand his resignation, according to party sources, paving the…

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Lord Ashcroft poll on how Euro voters will vote next year

Lord Ashcroft poll on how Euro voters will vote next year

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In another poll by Lord Ashcroft, 4,286 people who voted in the European Parliament elections in Great Britain were interviewed online on 22 and 23 May 2014, and there were quite a few questions asked (sadly no exit poll!) As I’ve stated before, one of the great unknowns when it comes to the next General Election is how 2014 UKIP voters will vote. Fortunately for us, Lord Ashcroft asked a question along those lines As you may know, the next…

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The Ashcroft marginals poll is out – and it’s great for Ed.

The Ashcroft marginals poll is out – and it’s great for Ed.

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Lord Ashcroft’s has published his marginal polling. The poll contradicts the findings of the ComRes marginals published earlier on this week, and the sample size here is nearly 26 times larger than the ComRes poll. This polling finds a 6.5% swing from the Conservatives to Labour – enough to topple 83 Tory MPs and give Ed Miliband a comfortable majority. 26,025 people were contacted by phone between 31st of March and the 18th of May. Given the collapsing leads and occasional…

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As most of the results are now in, the papers begin to give their take

As most of the results are now in, the papers begin to give their take

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Local results so far pic.twitter.com/HTCpa3cThj — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) May 23, 2014 INDEPENDENT FRONT PAGE: 'Farage crashes the parties' #skypapers pic.twitter.com/3h9VDpFcET — Sky News (@SkyNews) May 23, 2014 TELEGRAPH FRONT PAGE: 'Surge by UKIP throws Labour into poll crisis.' #skypapers pic.twitter.com/FpQ8MzaJ38 — Sky News (@SkyNews) May 23, 2014 Guardian front page, Saturday 24 May 2014: Miliband told: raise your game pic.twitter.com/rqG0mUYpbD — Guardian news (@guardiannews) May 23, 2014 TSE

Locals 2014: Afternoon update – The UKIP fox is in the Westminster hen house

Locals 2014: Afternoon update – The UKIP fox is in the Westminster hen house

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English council results so far via the BBC. pic.twitter.com/a1qcl07rZ3 — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) May 23, 2014 Like opinion polls, it is wise not to focus on one or two councils, but look at the broader picture. Often success  equals performance minus anticipation, using Rallings and Thrasher’s projections for the locals, of Lab 490 gains, the Cons and Lib Dems 220 and 350 losses respectively, and UKIP to make 80 gains, so far it is a great set of elections…

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