Home of the web’s best political conversation If you’re going to be up, All Night Long, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, Hello,  why not delurk tonight, if you do delurk, I’m sure you’ll be Dancing on the Ceiling in excitement. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Vince Cable will lose his economy job…
Home of the web’s best political conversation Relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB Nighthawks. If you’ve always been a lurker, why not take the final few Steps, and become a poster on PB, it would be a Tragedy if we missed your contributions, hopefully this will set off a Chain Reaction amongst you lurkers and at least 5,6,7,8 of you lurkers will delurk, The round up of recent events (click on the links below,…
The changes are from the Survation poll in early November, so no evidence of a post Autumn Statement slump for the Tories, however with less than five months to go, neither the Tories or Labour will be happy with their share of the vote. The fieldwork was the 18th and 19th December, 1,009 people were polled online. TSE
This month’s @IpsosMORI VI figures pic.twitter.com/0PGkWaGDGW — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) December 18, 2014 Whilst the headline figures appear to be the same as last month for the Tories and Labour, what will delight the Tories is prior to the certainty to vote filter being applied, last month the Tories and Labour were tied, this month, the Tories lead by 4% . Before the Tories get too excited, this poll sees them polling just over their 1997 nadir, and given…
Latest @LordAshcroft marginal polling pic.twitter.com/WGcCn3nui7 — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) December 18, 2014 The latest round of Lord Ashcroft marginal polling is out. He says Two types of constituencies feature in my last round of marginals polling for 2014. First, the next tranche of seats the Conservatives are defending from Labour; second, a selection of seats where Labour may be under threat from UKIP. I have also returned to the solitary Green constituency, Brighton Pavilion. I have just been on the…
Will the next US Presidential election could well be Bush v Clinton, again? The big news in last day was this tweet I am excited to announce I will actively explore the possibility of running for President of the United States: https://t.co/luY4lCF2cA. — Jeb Bush (@JebBush) December 16, 2014 Back in February I advised backing him as Republican Party Nominee at 10/1, he is now trading as low as 9/4 right now. A poll for NBC/WSJ found that Just 31%…
The Tories are down to their lowest share of the vote since May 2013 with ICM But the Lib Dems will be delighted as ICM is the third pollster this week to have them in double digits, two of them being phone pollsters. Guardian ICM phone poll makes grim reading for the Tories. But the Lib Dems are on the up. pic.twitter.com/vepvSt8G2r — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) December 17, 2014 But did George Osborne’s Autumn Statement contribute to the Tory…
This month’s ComRes online poll for the Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror sees Labour’s lead reduced from 4% to 1%. It fits in with what we’ve seen in recent weeks and months with other pollsters, with there being very little between Tories and Labour, the Lib Dems will be delighted to see daylight between themselves and the Greens. Onto the supplementaries, Voters see the Conservatives as more right wing than the UK Independence Party. The poll asked people to…