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Author: TSE

The OUT side needs someone other than Farage fronting the campaign

The OUT side needs someone other than Farage fronting the campaign

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Poll by @Survation More people trust Cam than distrust him on the EU, opposite true for Farage http://t.co/UchpFVSgFI pic.twitter.com/y9PlT0y9cQ — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 5, 2015 Nigel Farage might be a hindrance to the OUT side Looking at the above findings from Survation on behalf of British Future, if the EU referendum is a head to head between David Cameron and Nigel Farage, it is advantage to Cameron and the In side (assuming Cameron campaigns for the UK to remain in…

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Looking ahead to who will be the Tory London Mayoral Candidate

Looking ahead to who will be the Tory London Mayoral Candidate

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In less than a year Londoners will elect the successor to Boris Johnson, but who will be the Tory candidate? I suspect the candidate will someone with a high profile, and the ideal choice, would be Lord Coe, but it is believed his future is focussed upon the IOC, so who then? Zac Goldsmith is the current favourite, but the value in him has gone now. One of the reasons, I’m no longer backing any current Tory MP is given…

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Apathy and the older voters might be the key for Out winning the referendum

Apathy and the older voters might be the key for Out winning the referendum

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Not many people seem to view the EU as an issue – For Out it maybe that a low turnout referendum/differential turnout is the route to winning. Looking at this month’s Ipsos Mori issues index above, as usual, the  EU isn’t in the top 10 issues, whilst I sympathise, with those that say that Immigration is a proxy for the  EU, when we look at the specific EU tracker below, by Ipsos Mori, the EU isn’t a priority as it…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, when it comes to your lurking, why not, Give It Up, Get Down Tonight and get posting. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Antifrank looks at 2020: the geography of Labour’s next campaign Liz Kendall: full story of the outsider who became…

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The trade union member who could be the next Tory leader

The trade union member who could be the next Tory leader

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George Osborne praising Robert Halfon’s campaign for cheaper fuel. I’ve always thought the next leader would be someone associated with George Osborne, he declined to run in 2005 and he probably will not enter the next Tory leadership election, and prefers to be the éminence grise for another Tory leader. Sajid Javid seemed to be best placed in such a scenario, but perhaps, there is another, the man who was Osborne’s Parliamentary Private Secretary prior to the election, Robert Halfon, who must…

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Labour should not be too pessimistic about their chances of taking power in 2020

Labour should not be too pessimistic about their chances of taking power in 2020

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The Conservative Party will be fighting the next general election without their strongest asset, David Cameron. There’s some pessimism from Labour supporters about their chances at the next election. For example, Jon Cruddas in today’s Observer says “this could be the greatest crisis the Labour party has ever faced” whilst some are suggesting, that Sir Keir Starmer, the former Director of Public Prosecutions, and someone who has been an MP for a little over week, is the man to save Labour,…

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The Labour leadership election gets exciting as the Unions try and install Andy Burnham as leader

The Labour leadership election gets exciting as the Unions try and install Andy Burnham as leader

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Front page story of the @thesundaytimes via @hendopolis Story here http://t.co/YcqW88z1Mz pic.twitter.com/oiMiWoSH3Q — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 16, 2015 Looking at this story (££), it is probably bad news for Liz Kendall who is perceived to be the most Blairite of the contenders. The other interesting snippet from the Sunday Times piece, is that Burnham currently has 50 MPs backing him and is approaching 100 MPs as backers, which would mean not all the declared candidates will make it to the ballot…

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Time for Labour to make a clean break from its economic past

Time for Labour to make a clean break from its economic past

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My bold prediction for the 2020 General Election, the economy will dominate it, as much as it did this year, even if the economy is performing badly, which will be particularly bad news if your name is Liam Byrne, as the argument will be framed in terms of the situation the Tories inherited in 2010. Ed Miliband’s refusal to admit that Labour overspent between 1997 and 2010 during Question Time a week before election day, was felt to be a crucial…

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