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Author: TSE

The betting on when will Article 50 be triggered, if ever?

The betting on when will Article 50 be triggered, if ever?

Pictures: First picture odds from Stan James, second picture, odds from SkyBet There’s a couple of markets up on when Article 50 will be triggered, if you’re lucky to have a Stan James account, I wonder backing the any other outcome other option. It is effectively a bet on Article 50 being triggered in 2018 or later, not at all. Now 2018 might sound far away, but we’re less than 18 months away from 2018, and given the gravity of…

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Next Chancellor of the Exchequer betting

Next Chancellor of the Exchequer betting

Picture: Note there are other candidates available in this market, this is merely a screen grab of the leading candidates. Backing Chris Grayling as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer at 12/1 looks like a good bet. Ladbrokes have put back up their market on the next Chancellor of the Exchequer, given recent events whomever becomes Prime Minister will likely be appointing a new Chancellor, although there are stories that were Michael Gove to become Prime Minister, he’d retain George…

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Alastair Meeks on the political and economic crises of breathtaking proportions

Alastair Meeks on the political and economic crises of breathtaking proportions

Where do we go now? One of the most haunting Arthurian legends concerns Sir Balin.  Merlin had long prophesied that he would “strike a stroke most dolorous that ever man struck”.  Shrugging off this particular instance of Project Fear from an expert, Sir Balin entered into a feud with the family of King Pellam.  Being pursued by the king through his castle, Sir Balin seized “a marvellous spear strangely wrought” and dealt a fierce blow to the king.  The spear…

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The EU referendum: An attempt to analyse the in-play betting

The EU referendum: An attempt to analyse the in-play betting

Michael Dent the creator of PoliticsOdds.bet, a site which tracks and graphs betting prices on political events, looks at the EU Referendum in-play betting At 11:36pm on June 23rd, just before the first result was declared, the market was just short of 90% confident of a Remain vote. So much for markets knowing best – the market was wrong, and staggeringly confident in its wrongness. So how did we get from there to settling the market for Leave? What follows is an attempt…

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Cameron is going, Johnson has been in hiding and Labour faces civil war. So who will lead Britain?

Cameron is going, Johnson has been in hiding and Labour faces civil war. So who will lead Britain?

The country has voted for change but the future is unclear. Leadership is needed writes Keiran Pedley Last Thursday’s Brexit vote was truly an historic event in our country’s history. The consequences for British politics will take time to play out. Right now the country is tense. Since David Cameron’s resignation Friday morning there is a political vacuum at the heart of power and sense of uncertainty in the air. Only a fool would predict with any degree of certainty…

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Richard Tyndall on the exit strategy

Richard Tyndall on the exit strategy

Embed from Getty Images   Recent interventions into the Muslim world by Western powers post 9/11 have been characterised by one great failing. Whilst they have carefully planned and executed the military phase of the campaign, they have utterly failed to deal with the post conflict stage leaving behind failed states in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya as a result. The Brexit campaign is in danger of doing the same thing if they do not sort out, very quickly, what their…

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A very British coup as another shadow cabinet minister resigns, and more are expected

A very British coup as another shadow cabinet minister resigns, and more are expected

So if you've just woken up, you might want to put the kettle on, and then have a little sit-down — Guardian politics (@GdnPolitics) June 26, 2016 Labour coup: shad cab resignations this am, Council leaders resign later today, front bench tomo. Councillors too. Tom Watson in place. 1/ — Allegra Stratton (@AllegraStratton) June 26, 2016 2/ Tom Watson may lead Labour into an Autumn election. Corbyn going to be presented with overwhelming evidence majority of party against him —…

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Is this the start of the Saturday night/Sunday morning massacre by Corbyn?

Is this the start of the Saturday night/Sunday morning massacre by Corbyn?

Blimey. Is this is the start of the Saturday night/Sunday morning massacre? https://t.co/ot8bkFBm37 pic.twitter.com/GK0CSXhQ0E — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 26, 2016 Lots of good people chose to serve in Shadow Cabinet to keep the show on the road. There are no longer good reasons for good people to stay. — Wes Streeting MP (@wesstreeting) June 26, 2016 On behalf of people who run politics websites & journalists everywhere. Sacking someone at 1am on a Sunday morning is a really bad idea…

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