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Author: TSE

If these rumours turn out to be accurate I can see a 2018 general election happening

If these rumours turn out to be accurate I can see a 2018 general election happening

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Tory MPs tell me they are deeply anxious sexual harassment scandal escalating to be worse than expenses, and devastating for May https://t.co/eroIk0FRiD — Robert Peston (@Peston) October 30, 2017 PM’s official spokesman has refused to say she is confident none of her Cabinet have committed sexual misconduct. A bizarre state. — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) October 30, 2017 PM fears dossier on pervy MPs may force her into cabinet reshuffle. https://t.co/e96RDxi8yX — David Wooding (@DavidWooding) October 28, 2017 Not looking…

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When Mrs May announces her decision to stand down or is removed

When Mrs May announces her decision to stand down or is removed

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Announcing her departure at the Tory conference in October 2018 looks value at 12/1 I like this market from Paddy Power, a lot of the markets on Theresa May’s departure are when she formally stops being Prime Minister, this market is when she announces her intention to stand down (or loses a vote of confidence of the parliamentary party), not when she actually goes. For example if this market had existed for David Cameron, it would have paid out on…

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It’s Mueller time

It’s Mueller time

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Exclusive: A federal grand jury has approved the first charges in the investigation led by special counsel Mueller https://t.co/ZVvg1WCjMs pic.twitter.com/fXsVZUILni — CNN (@CNN) October 28, 2017 JUST IN: Office of the Special Counsel will serve up an indictment Monday in connection with Russia probe, an official confirms to NBC News — NBC News (@NBCNews) October 28, 2017 Important news for those of us betting on whether Trump will be impeached or serve a full term CNN reported in the early…

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The excellent Vietnam documentary series is a reminder that we need to learn from history

The excellent Vietnam documentary series is a reminder that we need to learn from history

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Picture credit: The CIA In Ken Burns’ documentary on the Vietnam War, President Kennedy is quoted as saying: “We don’t have a prayer of staying in Vietnam.  These people hate us.  But I can’t give up a piece of territory like that to the Communists and then get the people to re-elect me.”  LBJ felt much the same.  And yet, a President who – more than Kennedy – deserved to be called great, both for the breadth of his social…

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If you fancy a 1% and an 8% return in a little over 2 months these might be the bets for you

If you fancy a 1% and an 8% return in a little over 2 months these might be the bets for you

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Time is running out for Mrs May to be removed this year, the same applies to a second referendum this year, ergo you should bet accordingly. William Hill have a range of markets up and to be honest most of them seem very unappealing, but if I had to choose from this market, I’d go for the 1/100 on there being no 2nd EU In/Out referendum in 2017 and the 1/12 on Theresa May still being PM on the 1st…

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Betting on the next Tory Party Chairman (or Chairwoman)

Betting on the next Tory Party Chairman (or Chairwoman)

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Mrs May should appoint an ex military man as her new Party Chairman Ladbrokes have a market on who the next Chairman or Chairwoman of the the Tory party will be. It seems Sir Patrick McLoughlin will be standing down following his role in the disastrous general election campaign and the farce at the Tory conference when a ‘comedian’ interrupted Mrs May and the background behind Mrs May start falling apart, which in no way was symbolic for the shambles…

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Boris Johnson v Philip Hammond, who leaves their cabinet position first

Boris Johnson v Philip Hammond, who leaves their cabinet position first

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Paddy Power have a market up on who out of Boris Johnson and Phil Hammond will leave their cabinet position first. I’ve spent the  last couple of  hours thinking about this market, and trying to come to a definitive view. Both ministers have proven to be the gravest disappointments since Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice, so I can see the arguments for removing both from their current positions, but which will go first, as I can’t see her changing both…

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Betting on who will be Foreign Secretary on the 1st of January 2018

Betting on who will be Foreign Secretary on the 1st of January 2018

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Ladbrokes have a market up who will be Foreign Secretary on the 1st of January 2018, I quite like these kind of markets. Boris Johnson’s actions in recent weeks has led many to urge Mrs May to conduct a reshuffle to rid her of her meddlesome Foreign Secretary.  With rumours abounding that Mrs May will conduct a reshuffle after this week’s EU Council Summit, this looks like a tempting market. I think we can rule out Emily Thornberry being Foreign Secretary…

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