What a curry on
TSE
Breaking: Starmer’s leadership?
Yesterday I speculated that Starmer would quit if he received a fixed penalty notice, I based this on the unmatched high levels of personal integrity that lawyers have, coupled with his high sense of ethics that DPPs need, and the fact of the criticisms Starmer has rightly launched at Boris Johnson for his repeated lockdown breaches. Starmer is tune with the public as this YouGov poll shows, although Beergate appears not to have damaged Starmer’s rating at YouGov. The cynic…
A UK recession in 2022?
I’m not keen on this betting market from Smarkets, despite the grim news from Andrew Bailey and the Bank of England earlier on this week. The Bank of England has warned that Britain is on the brink of a recession as the country is battered by a cost of living crisis that has sent inflation surging to a 40-year high. Andrew Bailey, the Bank’s Governor, said that sharply rising energy prices will inflict “hardship” on millions of consumers as it increased…
Korma chameleon, you come and go
At the start of 2022 I never expected to be writing a thread on a betting market on Sir Keir Starmer getting a penalty notice for breaking Covid-19 regulations, quite frankly Starmer seems a bit vanilla and boring to be breaking any rules but thanks to Smarkets you can bet on this market. That Starmer finds himself in this position represents quite the existential threat for him given the way he has rightly pilloried Boris Johnson for his parties in…
Hooray, we can all remain Francophiles for the next 5 years at least
And from 2017. TSE
Time to over analyse things
I feel like I’m like somebody who spends their life poring over unweighted Scottish subsamples by looking at these early voting figures in France but I’m sticking with my long standing betting position of Macron to crush Marine Le Pen. There is a further update at 4pm UK time but I’m going to be at the cathedral of football that is Anfield hoping to see Liverpool continue their quest to complete the tetralogy this season and if Everton play ball…
If this polling doesn’t change then hello PM Starmer
Polls are not static and we are potentially thirty-three months away from the next general election so there’s a lot of time for things to change and with Boris Johnson is hoping he is a cross between The Bee Gees and and Mr Micawber, Stayin’ Alive in the hope that something will turn up, however my view unless this polling changes by the next election then Sir Keir Starmer will become Prime Minister, especially as the Conservatives appear to be…
Inflation is taxation without legislation
These two charts from YouGov really should frighten anyone in the Conservative Party, I’m a strong proponent of the belief that oppositions don’t win general elections, governments lose them, and these poll findings seem to indicate the Conservatives are on course to lose the next election. The cost of living crisis, the tempest long foretold foretold, is shredding the reputation of the government as evidenced in the above YouGov findings. There’s a bit of irony that keeping inflation low is…