Punters think WH2024 will be a 2020 re-run
Mike Smithson
Mike Smithson
All the signs are that the Tories are going to struggle to hold onto power at the general election. According to the John Curtice calculation they will need a overall GB vote lead of about 3% to ensure that they have got a majority. Labour by contrast need 7%. Although the polls have edged down a fair bit since their worst moments last year the Tories are still facing a huge struggle in order to put them into a position…
A couple of days ago I was driving North up the M6 when we stopped at a service station. The car pictured above was was being charged as we arrived and was still being charged when we left after about half an hour. It struck me that having to go through this process once or twice on a trip was an enormous hassle. I remember a conversation with a guy who provided services for the electrical power industry who declared…
The Tories paying the price for Brexit? We are so used to the Tories being the party that attracts big private donations that makes this political development stand out. It is a huge win for Starmer not just for the campaign cash that his party is getting but for the source and the reasons. The FT report notes that the big driver of this donation was Brexit and the Tories must hope that this is not the start of a…
The big UK political story concerns the effort by the COVID 19 inquiry into getting access to the WhatsApp accounts of leading politicians on what happened during the period when it was at its most rampant. YouGov’s poll on the issue featured about 61% saying that all messages requested should be provided against 25% saying the government should decide which of them are most relevant. I’ve featured the political breakdown of responses and as can be seen even Tory voters…
Paul Waugh in the Indy has a good piece pondering why Sunak is going to such lengths to avoid scrutiny over what he was doing during lock-down. The mere fact that this is all going to court could suggests that there is something that he doesn’t want to be made public. This is from Waugh’s piece: What ought to worry the Prime Minister was the way his own reputation was openly mocked by the Question Time crowd, with many suggesting his trademark…
As he tumbles so does his betting price The one thing that the Democrats have been most worried about is an event like the one featured in the video clip above – Joe Biden taking a tumble at a very public event with the cameras running. For the big question over the 80 year old’s desire to be re-elected has always been his age and undoubtedly the clip above will feature strongly if he does, as planned seek to remain…