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So will Ireland vote Yes this time?

So will Ireland vote Yes this time?

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***This thread for Irish Election only*** ***Click here for UK polling thread*** Irish Times Live results thread – how accurate will the Fine Gael exit poll be? Counting began at 9am in the 43 constituencies, with early numbers from the tallymen expected within the first two hours – these have been very accurate in previous Irish general elections and in the Lisbon referendum last June. We should have a very clear idea of how Ireland has voted by lunchtime if…

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Germany 2009 Election Night Special

Germany 2009 Election Night Special

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Die Zeit ZDF Seats projection CDU/CSU + FDP = 320 seats = new govt ZDF Exit poll: CDU/CSU 33.5 SPD 23.5 FDP 14.5 Linke 13 Greens 10 Welcome to PB’s coverage of German election night 2009, after what’s been seen as a generally dull campaign. Despite good weather in Germany, early afternoon indications were that turnout was several points down on 2005. Useful links: Official results Live market prices ARD ZDF Election.de Double Carpet

A special Sean Fear Friday Slot

A special Sean Fear Friday Slot

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Sean looks ahead to London’s locals next May The next London Borough Elections are due in May 2010, probably on the same day as the General Election. In 2006, the Conservatives led strongly, winning fifteen boroughs outright, compared to eight for Labour, and four for the Liberal Democrats. The Conservatives’ lead, in terms of vote share, was less impressive, winning 35%, compared to 28% for Labour, and 21% for the Liberal Democrats. If, as seems likely, the Conservatives win a…

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Continuation Thread

Continuation Thread

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The Times is running a story on Tory PPCs who are apparently involved in lobbying efforts ahead of the next election. The Telegraph is reporting that Speaker Jon Bercow has made comments about the accountability of Lord Mandelson to MPs Max Clifford is now representing Baroness Scotland’s former housekeeper, causing that story to run on another couple of days at least. Oh, and on the last thread David Roe brings us this exclusive from his new home at the Scottish…

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Continuation thread

Continuation thread

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In the Spectator: Are the knives out for Vince? Meanwhile Brown says that Baroness Scotland need not resign, despite being fined £5,000. William Hill quote 9/4 No, 1/3 Yes, for “Will Baroness Scotland remain in her position until the end of 2009?” Double Carpet

All aboard for a black-yellow coalition?

All aboard for a black-yellow coalition?

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But the odds for the CDU/CSU + FDP are drifting So, a narrow re-election for Stoltenberg and the centre-left coalition in Norway, with its four (blonde) female party leaders and the Liberal leader resigning after the party was reduced to just two seats. Did anyone back Jens at the short odds-on prices? Next up is Germany, which votes a week today. Merkel trades at 1.08 (1/12) in the “next Chancellor” market on Betfair which I think should be pretty much…

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Who will be the next First Minister for Wales?

Who will be the next First Minister for Wales?

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And when exactly will Rhodri Morgan step down? It has been public knowledge since July 2005 that Rhodri Morgan, First Minister in the Welsh Assembly Government, would step down from that post at some point during 2009. Nearing his 70th birthday at the end of September, he has left himself few obvious opportunities with only the final three months of the year to meet that expectation. It has been suggested that he might announce at the Labour Party Conference in…

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Are you on the autumn’s first betting heat?

Are you on the autumn’s first betting heat?

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Ladbrokes Labour’s Stoltenberg is firm PM favourite despite tight polls Yukio Hatoyama is set to be officially confirmed as Japan’s new Prime Minister this week, but already the international circus has moved on, and tomorrow will see the first election of the autumn with serious betting interest, in the shape of Norway. The above market from Ladbrokes (such is the betting importance of Norway that the Magic Sign have a local trading desk) shows that Labour’s Jens Stoltenberg is a…

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