The Glasgow North East result thread
Polling has just closed and we’ll all have to wait. I’m on Labour at an average of 0.83/1 on Betfair and, of course, I’m betting that the turnout will be greater than 38%. Mike Smithson
Pounds for Pence? (Or is Barbour a snip?)
Wikimedia Commons Peter the Punter looks at the 2012 White House market If there is anybody out there who does not yet know about Mike Smithson’s prediction that Barack Obama, then a 50/1 outsider, would win the US Presidency three years later, they had better acknowledge it now. Trying to follow that astonishing piece of tipping is surely sticking one’s neck out but PB is not for the fainthearted: so when California Girl, the latest recruit to my long list…
Is this the shape of things to come?
A guest article from Socrates (On election day in the US Socrates focuses on a battle that could change US politics – MS) While most eyes on the American political scene have been focusing on today’s gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey, the contest with the biggest national implications may turn out to be the congressional one in New York’s 23rd district. The bulk of New York State’s population is located in the strongly liberal metropolis that is New…
The 3rd November Gubernatorials – New Jersey
Atlantic City (Wikimedia Commons) Will Corzine scrape home in a tight race? Unlike Virginia which appears a done deal, the second of the gubernatorial elections on Tuesday, in the “Garden State” of New Jersey is a much tighter affair, with a key difference being the presence of an Independent candidate who has been polling in the teens. This race may yet see the re-election of the incumbent Governor despite his low approval ratings, and despite the lack of markets with…
The 3rd November Gubernatorials – Virginia
Wikimedia Commons Are the GOP home and hosed in the Old Dominion? One thing America is never short of is elections, and so a year after winning the White House, the Democrats will have their first major test at the ballot box with the “off-year” races for Governor of New Jersey (to be examined next week) and Virginia, on Tuesday 3rd November. Virginia is now a key “purple state” in which the Democrats have done well at recent electoral cycles,…
Is Bracknell going to choose a blogger?
Will the chair of the Bedford primary win his own? As many of you will know, this afternoon the Tories in Bracknell will select a candidate to replace Andrew MacKay, and given the majority exceeded 12,000 votes in 2005 I think it is fair to say they are probably choosing the next MP. This is one of five such contests taking place this weekend using what’s described as An Open Primary (strictly speaking a caucus) whereby people who live in…
Continuation thread
Is The Mole right? “Not too late for Labour to ditch Brown and win”: “Get ready for one last effort to oust Gordon Brown as Labour leader. Some in Westminster are suggesting that if Labour MPs were not so concerned with having to save their bank balances.. they would be more intent on saving their government. …The fact is that, in the eyes of some of the smartest economists and political pundits of both persuasions, David Cameron and George Osborne…
Greek Election Night Special
Exit Karamanlis, Enter Papandreou? Ta Nea Exit poll: PASOK 42.5 ND 36.4 KKE 7.9 LAOS 5.3 SYRIZA 3.7 No opinion polls may be published during the last two weeks of the campaign, but unless all the earlier polling was extremely inaccurate, then the New Democracy government led by Kostas Karamanlis, beset by economic crises, riots, and a wafer-thin parliamentary majority, looks set to go down to defeat. The opposition socialist PASOK, led by George Papandreou, his father a PM in…