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Populus has Tories one point ahead

Populus has Tories one point ahead

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Populus/The Times Apr 20 Apr 13 CONSERVATIVES 32% 36% LIB DEMS 31% 21% LABOUR 28% 33% Fieldwork was carried out yesterday evening and this morning, and confirms the continuing Lib Dem bounce, with Clegg’s party up 10 points, Labour down five, and the Conservatives down four at 32. Peter Riddell comments in The Times: “The Lib Dem rise has been particularly fuelled by younger voters since last Thursday’s party leaders’ debate, while there are indications that the debate may boost…

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The Sunday night round-up

The Sunday night round-up

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This is a regular feature which will run every Sunday night up until polling day, to include the last set of figures from each pollster, as well as the current seat spreads from the betting markets, and also international updates. The pollsters Last poll from each pollster Con Lab LD Oth Lead YouGov 17 Apr 33 30 29 8 Con 3 BPIX 17 Apr 31 28 32 9 LD 1 ComRes 17 Apr 31 27 29 13 Con 2 ICM…

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So can he take the Lib Dems past Labour?

So can he take the Lib Dems past Labour?

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Can Clegg’s party beat the 1983 share? So, the first round of debates is over, and by a clear margin all of the major post-debate polls have declared Nick Clegg to be the winner. (For what it’s worth, I thought Clegg was slightly ahead of Cameron, and both were well ahead of Brown.) So what happens now? We’ve already seen a Lib Dem bounce of four points in today’s YouGov – how will Clegg’s debate performance translate into the Lib…

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Debate continuation thread

Debate continuation thread

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So who’s winning so far? UPDATE: ITV poll: Clegg 43 Cameron 26 Brown 20 YouGov: Clegg 51 Cameron 29 Brown 19 Angus Reid: Clegg 46 Cameron 21 Brown 19 Live results from Angus Reid’s polling panel are available here. Double Carpet (Twitter:@electiongame) The Election Game, covering over 30 countries, is at www.electiongame.co.uk

Let battle commence….

Let battle commence….

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Will the debate be an historic event or a damp squib? … and big jump for Lib Dems with You Gov So, just 50 years after Kennedy and Nixon, the UK finally joins the democracies that hold election debates between leaders. Internationally, a three-way debate is fairly rare (the Bush-Clinton-Perot matchup of 1992 a notable exception) – most are either the “big two” leaders (eg US, France, Germany, Australia) or more of an all-party debate (eg Canada, Austria). Having progressed…

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The Sunday night round-up

The Sunday night round-up

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This is a regular feature which will run every Sunday night up until polling day, to include the last set of figures from each pollster, as well as the current seat spreads from the betting markets, and also international updates. The pollsters Last poll from each pollster Con Lab LD Oth Lead YouGov 10 Apr 40 32 18 10 8 BPIX 10 Apr 38 31 20 11 7 ICM 10 Apr 38 30 21 11 8 ComRes 10 Apr 39…

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Harnessing the power of Twitter for the election

Harnessing the power of Twitter for the election

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PB’s MORUS on standardised constituency tags We all know, or should do by now, that there is nowhere better to be on an election night than in the comments section of PoliticalBetting.com – the 2010 General Election will be no different in that respect. However, one development of the last 2 years means that we will have access to more information from the ground than ever before. Developments in the mobile web mean that it is now commonplace for people…

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