Harper Green on Bolton (Lab Defence) Result of last election (2012): Lab 41, Con 16, Lib Dem 3 (Labour overall majority of 22) Result in ward over last electoral cycle: 2010: Lab 2,302 (45%), Lib Dem 1,203 (23%), Con 903 (18%), Ind 625 (12%), Green 114 (2%) 2011: Lab 1,918 (67%), Con 616 (22%), Lib Dem 326 (11%) 2012: Lab 1,656 (73%), Con 389 (17%), Lib Dem 222 (10%) Candidates duly nominated: Asha Ali Ismail (Lab), Wendy Connor (Lib Dem),…
Following publication of our latest four constituency polls for Alan Bown earlier this week, there has been considerable public discussion of the methodology we used for these polls, including specific criticisms from Anthony Wells of YouGov, Lord Ashcroft and an article by John Rentoul which lists a number of criticisms passed to him by “a Conservative sourceâ€. I would like to use this opportunity to address these criticisms and provide a robust explanation for our choices of methodology. In his…
Topcliffe on Hambleton (Con Defence) Candidates duly nominated: Garry Key (Con) Result: Conservative HOLD elected unopposed Hornby Castle on Richmondshire (Con Defence) Result: Conservative 127 (46%), Independent 98 (36%), United Kingdom Independence Party 50 (18%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 29 (10%) Iver Village and Richings Park (Lib Dem Defence) Result: Conservative 422 (47%), United Kingdom Independence Party 377 (42%), Liberal Democrats 101 (11%) Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrats with a majority of 45 (5%) Bedworth West on Warwickshire…
Topcliffe on Hambleton (Con Defence) Result of last election (2011): Con 39, Ind 3, Lib Dem 2 (Conservative overall majority of 34) Result of last election in ward (2011): Con 550 (75%), Lib Dem 185 (25%) Candidates duly nominated: Garry Key (Con) Result: Conservative HOLD elected unopposed Hambleton is quite accustomed to the concept of elected unopposed being a rural area in the North of Yorkshire, however as their colleagues in Richmondshire may find being elected unopposed can have it’s…
Riverside (Lab Defence) and Splott (Lab Defence) on Cardiff Riverside: Result: Lab 1,120 (50% +2%), Plaid 773 (35% +4%), Con 107 (5% -3%), UKIP 97 (4%), TUSC 70 (3% +2%), Lib Dem 58 (3% -1%) Labour HOLD on a swing of 1% from Labour to Plaid Splott: Result: Lab 706 (40% -14%), Lib Dem 604 (34% +4%), UKIP 209 (12%), Ind 94 (5%), Con 86 (5% unchanged), TUSC 80 (4% +3%) Labour HOLD on a swing of 9% from Labour…
Riverside (Lab Defence) and Splott (Lab Defence) on Cardiff Result of last election (2012): Lab 46, Lib Dem 16, Con 7, Ind 3, Plaid 2, Heath Independents 1 (Labour overall majority of 17) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes Elected Riverside: Labour 1,731, 1,555, 1,431 (48%) Plaid Cymru 1,153, 944, 940 (31%) Greens 294, 272, 189 (8%) Conservatives 286, 276, 263 (8%) Liberal Democrats 142, 129, 122 (4%) Trade Unionists and Socialists 99 (1%) Candidates duly nominated:…
The Ipsos-Mori issues index for November is out, the field work ended on the 10th of November. Ipsos-Mori Issues Index for Nov is out New PB Thread http://t.co/uJnRxdRYii pic.twitter.com/ovrJF46TKs — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) November 29, 2013 General concern about the economy continues to fall as concern shifts to poverty/inequality and the personal economy. Highest level of concern about low pay and poverty/inequality Ipsos MORI have ever recorded. Immigration is in second place, as it has been for the last five months, is race…
Winkfield and Cranbourne on Bracknell Forest (Con Defence) Result of last election (2011): Con 40, Lab 2 (Conservative overall majority of 38) Result of ward at last election (2011): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 1,308, 1,250 Green 269 Labour 255, 252 Candidates duly nominated: Paul Birchall (Lib Dem), Janet Keene (Lab), Ken La Garde (UKIP), Susie Phillips (Con) When people think of “one party states” in local elections, they often think of the Labour heartlands such as Knowsley (Lab 63,…