At least 50% of current Labour, Lib Dem and Green voters would support any coalition between Labour and the Lib Dems or Greens, but while most Conservative and Reform UK voters would support a Badenoch-led coalition between the two parties, Tories are less keen if Farage was in charge
Despite growing fragmentation of voting behaviour, Britons still tend to prefer single party governments to coalitionsSingle party government: 49%Coalition of two or more parties: 27%yougov.co.uk/politics/art…
If their parties held the balance of power in a hung parliament, current Lib Dem and Green voters would rather their parties backed Labour than either the Conservatives (59-69% vs 4-20%) or Reform UK (66-71% vs 3-7%)yougov.co.uk/politics/art…
If the next election results in a hung parliament where Labour could form a coalition with any major party, who would current Labour voters want them to form a coalition with?Lib Dems: 43%Greens: 29%Conservatives: 5%Reform UK: 3%None, should govern alone: 13%yougov.co.uk/politics/art…
Although current Conservative voters would choose forming a coalition with Reform UK (39%) over the Lib Dems (21%), 63-69% would want the party to try and form a coalition with either party if one of them held the balance of poweryougov.co.uk/politics/art…
In a hung parliament where Reform UK are the largest party and could choose any coalition partner, current Reform voters are divided between 48% who would pick the Conservatives and 43% who believe they should try and govern alone without a majorityyougov.co.uk/politics/art…
Which parties do Britons say they ideally want and do not want to see form the next government?Reform UK: 26% want / 48% do not wantGreens: 23% / 27%Lib Dems: 21% / 21%Conservatives: 21% / 38%Labour: 20% / 45%yougov.co.uk/politics/art…
There’s a lot of information to process from this polling from this but the things that stand out for me is that more voters don’t want Reform to form the next government than any other party.
This fits my expectation that Reform will see a lot of tactical voting against them however nearly as many do not want Labour want to form the government after the next election.
The next election is shaping up to be one giant unpopularity contest.