Yvette should be the most disappointed

This ORB poll for the Independent was conducted among all voters, not Labour members, Andy Burnham will be delighted with these figures, he can cite that the wider electorate perceive him as the candidate who will do the most to improve Labour’s chances at the next election, which should do his leadership ambitions no harm.

The most interesting aspect of this poll is Liz Kendall’s numbers, she’s second to Burnham in this poll, both on a net and absolute basis, which is some achievement for someone who was unknown to most of the public less than seven weeks ago. She’s also the candidate the voters to perceive to do the least absolute harm to Labour’s chances which is an advantage for her.

Yvette Cooper is likely to be the most disappointed leadership contender, as she is seen as someone who will do a net harm to Labour’s chances at the next election, this poll also explains why so many Tories are keen for Jeremy Corbyn to be the next Labour leader, as he will do the most harm to Labour’s chances.

What we really need is to see a poll of Labour members, hopefully the poll YouGov were conducting of Labour members a few days ago, will be published shortly.

I believe the ORB poll was conducted online between the 19th and 21st of June, so after last week’s Newsnight debate.

TSE