— The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) September 25, 2014
Today reports emerged that
Senior UKIP figures are claiming two more Tory MPs are â€˜in the bagâ€™ and will be unveiled as defectors within days.
To the alarm of Conservative HQ, Ukip party secretary Matthew Richardson has boasted privately that two turncoats have agreed to switch parties, according to two separate sources.Â
Mr Richardson has told colleagues an announcement could be made as early as Ukipâ€™s conference, which opens today in Doncaster.
I have a personal rule, that defections are usually surprises, and the ones that are announced/expected in advance generally don’t happen, usually when they happen it is unexpected, just like when Douglas Carswell defected.
In my opinion, the honourable and principled precedent that Douglas Carswell has set, by triggering a by-election to obtain a new mandate from the electorate, something that other defectors might not wish to replicate, particularlyÂ if they have a small majority.
However, if UKIP wanted to really damage the Tories and David Cameron in particular, what better way that announce defections just prior to the Tory conference, or even during the conference, so I do think something a defection is likely.
The bookies have a few markets up on this,Â How Many Conservative MPs Will Defect To UKIP Before General ElectionÂ andÂ Next Tory MP To Defect To UKIP
I’ve had a nibble on two or more MPs to defect and Philip Hollobone to defect, at 2/1 and 7/1 respectively.
— Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) September 25, 2014