EP14: Results summary with changes on 2009
CON did better than virtually all the polls while Ukip did worse The broad trend was in line with what I’d predicted though my bets on Ukip not making it top place were losers. AIFE took about 2% in most regions where they stood Undoubtedly this cost Ukip votes. The 2% was exactly in line with my prediction. A dire, dire result for Lib Dems and Nick Clegg Who know what will happen? It looks as though YouGov were clear…
As the results start to come in it’s a great night for UKIP
For the Lib Dems, it could be their worst nightmare, as Tim Farron talks about them having zero MEPs, whilst Doncaster is won by UKIP, David Herdson suggestion from last week isn’t so outlandish now is it? North East results: LAB 2 (+1) UKIP 1 (+1) CON 0 (-1) LD 0 (-1) Turnout 31% #Vote2014 — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) May 25, 2014 Eastern results: UKIP 3 (+1) CON 3 (NC) LAB 1 (NC) LD 0 (-1) Turnout: 35% #Vote2014 —…
The European Elections Results Thread
The results should start to be announced shortly, please use this thread to discuss the results. TSE
The Great 2014 Euro Elections Polling Race
The Great EP2014 Polling Race. Which firm's final poll will be closest to the actual result? pic.twitter.com/cRx1Vsx6iZ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 25, 2014 Which firm is going to come out on top? There next few hours will be quite a nervous time for the pollsters because not too long after 10pm their final surveys will be able to be compared with the actual results. As can be seen five firms had Ukip in first place with leads varying between…
Looks like the knives are out for Clegg
INDEPENDENT ON SUNDAY: Lib dem MPs in bid to oust Clegg #tomorrowspaperstoday #BBCPapers pic.twitter.com/vHrj8BqXNS — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) May 24, 2014 The Independent on Sunday and others are reporting “The Deputy Prime Minister, Nick Clegg, faces a showdown with Liberal Democrat MPs who are demanding that he consider his position as party leader in the wake of the disastrous European and local election results. A block of unnamed MPs are poised to demand his resignation, according to party sources, paving the…
Lord Ashcroft poll on how Euro voters will vote next year
In another poll by Lord Ashcroft, 4,286 people who voted in the European Parliament elections in Great Britain were interviewed online on 22 and 23 May 2014, and there were quite a few questions asked (sadly no exit poll!) As I’ve stated before, one of the great unknowns when it comes to the next General Election is how 2014 UKIP voters will vote. Fortunately for us, Lord Ashcroft asked a question along those lines As you may know, the next…
The Ashcroft marginals poll is out – and it’s great for Ed.
Lord Ashcroft’s has published his marginal polling. The poll contradicts the findings of the ComRes marginals published earlier on this week, and the sample size here is nearly 26 times larger than the ComRes poll. This polling finds a 6.5% swing from the Conservatives to Labour – enough to topple 83 Tory MPs and give Ed Miliband a comfortable majority. 26,025 people were contacted by phone between 31st of March and the 18th of May. Given the collapsing leads and occasional…