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Month: September 2013

With the media narrative moving against UKIP the Tory prospects for EURO2014 start to look better

With the media narrative moving against UKIP the Tory prospects for EURO2014 start to look better

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My 10/1 bet is looking even more promising However you look at yesterday’s events at the Ukip conference it is hard to see how it has advanced the purples’ cause. Farage and his team were put under pressure from a hostile media and didn’t perform very well. In fact they looked like a shambles. It was blindingly obvious that Bloom was a loose cannon and action should have been taken much earlier. The party that has blossomed over the past…

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In March Henry G Manson tipped Sadiq Khan for London Mayor when he was 33-1

In March Henry G Manson tipped Sadiq Khan for London Mayor when he was 33-1

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Today Khan hinted that he could stand Back in March Henry G Manson wrote this on PB:- “What puts Sadiq Khan in such a great place for this contest is that Ed Miliband also made him Shadow Minister for London two months ago. This remit will enable him to meet, speak, campaign, engage with the whole London electoral college for this selection ahead of elections in 2014 and the general election a year later. The unions played a large role…

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Labour’s union plans are about culture as much as cash

Labour’s union plans are about culture as much as cash

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Henry G Manson’s Friday column Lord Collins’ interim proposals for Labour’s relationship with its affiliated unions were published yesterday. They don’t settle the issue of union funding and affiliation to Labour. In fact it provides more questions than answers. But while much of the attention has previously been on the pounds, shilling and pence that would be lost, it’s clear that these plans are about so much more than that. Together the proposals demand an organisational and cultural shift from…

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Local By-Election Preview: September 19th 2013

Local By-Election Preview: September 19th 2013

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North Ward on Oxford (Lib Dem Defence) Last Local Election (2012): Lab 29, Lib Dem 13, Green 5, Ind 1 (Lab overall majority of 10) Last election in ward: 2010: Lib Dem 1,303 (45%), Con 715 (24%), Lab 489 (17%), Green 413 (14%) Candidates duly nominated: Time Bearder (Lib Dem), Sushila Dhall (Green), Louise Upton (Lab), John Walsh (Con) Oxford has been a bit of a disappointment for the Liberal Democrats over recent years, but this wasn’t always the case….

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The LDs might have left Glasgow in upbeat mood but their GE2015 prospects are dependent on UKIP continuing to prosper

The LDs might have left Glasgow in upbeat mood but their GE2015 prospects are dependent on UKIP continuing to prosper

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The big question mark over the Ashcroft polling Most delegates at this week’s Liberal Democrat conference left Glasgow in a confident mood helped by the polling of marginal constituencies funded by ex-Tory treasurer Lord Ashcroft and published on Sunday. This gave the party the glimmer of hope. For in spite of their ongoing poor national polling and their leader’s dreadful ratings it appeared that they weren’t going to be annihilated on May 7th 2015 as many have predicted. What was…

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As Labour prepares for its conference today’s YouGov reports that the party’s lead has been wiped out

As Labour prepares for its conference today’s YouGov reports that the party’s lead has been wiped out

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For the second time in two months a major pollster reports that LAB and CON are level-pegging on 36% pic.twitter.com/e0p2mzUYcj — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 19, 2013 Some numbers to dampen LAB spirits Whenever you get a poll that is out of the ordinary you have to treat the findings with some scepticism and today’s YouGov poll for the Sun is no exception. In July ICM also had both LAB and CON on 36% a that wasn’t supported by other…

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