Just look at how 2010 CON voters view the same sex marriage issue compared with those who now say they are voting for the party. The first group show by 53% to 39% that they are against. Compare that on the drop down menu in the chart above with current CON voters. They are in favour by 48% to 41%. Look also at the emphatic opposition from current UKIP voters. The poll also shows how 24% of those who voted…
No EU referendum from Lab – EdM making this the big divider for GE2015. goo.gl/xFQSK twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 11, 2013 Osborne’s biographer, the, FT’s Janan Ganesh thinks that EdM has this right? Tories convinced EdM’s non-offer of referendum will hurt him. If they knew how little ppl care about Europe, their world would fall apart. — Janan Ganesh (@JananGanesh) May 11, 2013 The latest issues polling from Ipsos-MORI Miliband might be right on the salience of the…
The EU issue the only big thing dividing the Tories from UKIP The Conservative Party is one of the oldest and most successful political parties across the world. It is so partly because it has had in the past displayed a surprisingly flexible approach in adapting to defeat, and partly because it has ensured it dominated the political field on the centre-right, either by eliminating or allying with rivals. So can it do so against in response to the rise…
Henry G Manson on how the Tories have made GE2015 easier for Ed There is a bit of talk as to whether certain Conservative MP are able to be endorsed by UKIP and stand with two party emblems next to their name on the ballots paper. This is now possible under updated election law. This week Peter Bone MP took to the airwaves arguing for joint Conservative and UKIP candidates to take advantage of this: “There was a tremendous Conservative…
After the record lows CON up 3 Ukip down 3 The changes in today’s YouGov are all within the margin of error – even so they will be enough to relieve some of the pressure on the blue team. Not only will they be pleased to be back in the 30s the changes all seem to have been at UKIP’s expense. As we always say we need to see more results like this before we can draw many conclusions. But…
After all the excitement of last Thursday, which saw the worst Conservative performance in a set of local elections since 1995 (25% national projected vote share), Labour make no change on their 2010 local election performance (29% national projected vote share), the Liberal Democrats see thirty three years of local election advances wiped out (14% national projected vote share, only 1% higher than their tally in 1980) and with the help of UKIP, the Others “win” the local elections with…
Nice infographic from Ipsos-MORI for today’s Scotland poll which has NO 28% ahead. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 9, 2013 Now just 23% of Scotland’s women back the plan Ipsos-MORI chart showing how different Scottish subgroups responded to the #indyref question twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 9, 2013 Salmond’s deputy tops the Scottish leader ratings Alex Salmond once again being out done by his deputy in the latest Ipsos-MORI Scottish leader ratings twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May…
And LAB drops to 15 month low as UKIP surges The figures from the latest News International daily poll by YouGov are above and show the continued damage that the dramatic rise of Ukip is having particularly on the Tories. Since YouGov started polling after the 2001 General Election the blues have never been on this level. The LAB 38% is the lowest for them since February 20th 2012. Only the LDs in this survey seem relatively unaffected. In terms…