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Month: June 2012

Should Vince take Polly’s advice?

Should Vince take Polly’s advice?

Over at the Guardian, Polly is offering advice to Vince Cable, the headline says Now is the perfect time for Liberal Democrats to wield the knife Nick Clegg is finished. But if Vince Cable leads an anti-austerity rebellion, he can help save his party and the UK economy too Last week we had Vince publicly discussing that the coalition would disengage before the General Election, and over the weekend a story emerged Vince and other Lib Dems were having secret…

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Two new polls out with increased Labour leads

Two new polls out with increased Labour leads

There are two new polls out. Survation Conservatives 29 (-1) Labour 37 (nc) Lib Dems 13 (nc) Job Performance Approval: Ed Miliband 25%, David Cameron 29%, Nick Clegg 43% Who do you trust most on the economy? David Cameron 34% Ed Miliband 29% Who do you trust most on the economy? Ed Balls 28% George Osborne 26% Meanwhile Angus Reid have the following poll Conservatives 29 (nc) Labour 45 (+4) Lib Dems 9 (-2) Approval net ratings Cameron minus 24%…

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Could Osborne lose his job within a year?

Could Osborne lose his job within a year?

Over the weekend there were a few stories briefing heavily against the Chancellor. The most biting one was the one in the Mail on Sunday, where an anonymous backbench Tory MP predicted Osborne could lose his job within a year. This was the most distressing observation (if you’re George Osborne or a Tory) He just doesn’t do the work. He has got away with it until now, but the Budget mistakes have enabled people to see the reality. Previous Chancellors…

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YouGov leader ratings: Ed behind again

YouGov leader ratings: Ed behind again

But before David Cameron gets too excited, his ratings from the previous week remain unchanged, it was Ed Miliband’s ratings that slipped back, so Ed couldn’t maintain his lead for a fourth week. Cameron net rating minus 26 (nc from last week) Miliband net rating minus 28 (minus 5 from last week) Clegg net rating minus 55 (nc from last week) It will be interesting to see what the Ipsos-Mori ratings will show later on this month. But given recent…

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Does Dave have to offer a referendum before Ed does?

Does Dave have to offer a referendum before Ed does?

The Sunday Times are reporting that Andrew Cooper, formerly of Populus and currently David Cameron’s pollster has warned the Tories they face embarrassment in the 2014 European Parliament elections, where they could be pushed into second place or worse by UKIP, unless they make a dramatic manifesto pledge to have an in/out referendum. A source said: “Cooper’s polling is clear. There’s a real public backlash against the EU and if we don’t do something, UKIP will get the benefit. There’s a…

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The Debut ICM Wisdom Index

The Debut ICM Wisdom Index

This is the debut of a new polling methodology from ICM. Conservatives 31% Labour 39% Lib Dems 16%   Unlike conventional polls, which ask voters which party they would choose in a general election, the Wisdom Index asks them to predict the result of such a contest. This poll was conducted online, unlike other ICM polls which are conducted by phone.  Martin Boon of ICM posted on the previous thread, here is an excerpt.  The new technique is based on…

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