What are we to make of reports that he might? Partly because I’m writing regularly on the 2012 White House race for the Telegraph I’m being contacted a lot by Ron Paul supporters who believe that there man will be in a strong position at the Republican National Convention in Tampa at the end of August. First they are saying ignore the regular delegate counts put out by the media – these are only half the story. For over the…
YouGov The above is a list of all the post-general election findings to YouGov’s forced choice question which for years I have regarded as an equal if not better pointer to election outcomes than the standard voting intention polling. Its strength is that it combines party allegiance and views of the leaders with what people would most like to see happen. It is also a possible pointer to potential tactical voting. Unfortunately YouGov has only asked it twice this year…
Betfair Politics A couple of people have raised with time the question of when they can expect to pick up their winnings on Mitt Romney for the Republican party nomination. The battle is just about all over with Mitt expected to cross the finishing line with the 1144 delegates in the next two to three weeks. Unfortunately for punters the bookies are likely to do what they have done in the past and wait until the party convention has met….
Would Phillip Hammond be best placed to become leader&PM? These have been a bloody few weeks for David Cameron. One problem seems to have piled on another and his personal poll ratings and those of his party have plummeted. What if the narrative continues and there seem few signs of improvement? What if Labour’s double digit poll leads continue and the idea takes hold that the dream of a Tory majority simply isn’t going to happen and that the most…
What a day for political news This has been one of those days. After last night’s YouGov poll with its record lead we then had the charges in the News International case only to be followed an hour or so later by one of the four main telephone polls – Ipsos-MORI. Then there was the election to the Conservatives 1922 committee in which the old guard appears to have seen off the young usurpers. On top of that EdM has…
Both the PM and Nick Clegg see 8 points drops Another poll, MORI, has EdM beating DC in leader ratings.Ed’s net rating is -16/Dave’s is -28/Clegg’s is -39 bit.ly/JXzzkh — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 15, 2012 Clegg also sees a big drop in his MORI ratings down from -31 in April to -39 now.bit.ly/JXzzkh — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 15, 2012 Cameron’s -28% MORI rating is worse than Gordon Brown’s was in any survey from the pollster in the 5…
Important legal notice We are now entering a different phase legally and and there should be no speculation, smears or innuendos regarding these developments. Any posts on this subject matter needs to come from a reputable source, with a link. Any poster disregarding this will have their post removed and will be banned from posting. CHARGE 1 – CONSPIRACY TO PERVERT THE COURSE OF JUSTICE Rebekah Brooks between 6th July and 19th July 2011 conspired with Charles Brooks, Cheryl Carter,…