Is Jeremy Hunt going to survive?
Will Jeremy Hunt still be a cabinet minister in a month’s time? Yes – Hunt will still be in the cabinet on June 20th No – he will have left before then pollcode.compollcode.com7 free polls
Finding out about current UKIP supporters
Are the blues right to think that the purples will return? The two big moves in opinion since the general election have been the Lib Dem collapse with the switch to Labour and now the rise of UKIP. The former has been studied at length but there’s been very little polling data on the latter. One challenge is that of all the pollsters only ComRes provides cross-tabs on UKIP supporters. In its latest poll Comres also has the question “Which,…
LAB increases it’s lead by 4pc with ComRes online
CON 32%-2 LAB 41%+2 LD 11%+1 UKIP 7%-2 David Cameron is turning out to be a good Prime Minister Agree 26% (-3) Disagree 54% (+4) Net agree -28 (-7) Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour Party Agree 26% (+8) Disagree 45% (-4) Net agree -19 (+12 ) Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good leader of the Liberal Democrats Agree 20% (-2) Disagree 56% (+4) Net agree -36 (-6) I trust…
Will Greece make a Drachma out of a crisis?
David Herdson on Saturday The current and next phases of the Eurocrisis is all about who will prevail when the irresistible force of the Greek electorate meets the immovable object of Angela Merkal and the Greek debt-holders. Without funds from the international institutions, Greece will default. Those funds will not be forthcoming if Greece doesn’t implement the policies that were part of the deal. Those policies won’t be enacted unless Greece has a government committed to them. Five of the…
The LAB/Ed surge continues with the top pollster on Boris vs Ken
Opinium’s leader ratings also have Ed ahead of Dave There’s a new poll out from Opinium – the online firm that hasn’t received much credit for being closest with the final Boris-Ken split in the London Mayoral election just over a fortnight ago. It reported a 52-48 final split which was two points closer than YouGov. The final split in actual votes was 51.53% to 48.47%. Opiinum’s latest Westminster VI poll is now reporting, like the other firms, a move…
Could Boris’s successor be another Johnson?
Is there any point in betting on the 2016 race? Both PaddyPower and Ladbrokes have now got markets up on the 2015 London mayoral race and there appears to have been a bit of activity with Labour’s Alan Johnson now second favourite with both – 6/1 with the former and 10/1 the latter. The interest in Alan Johnson stems from comments he made about how him running this time had been a possibility and that he might put his cap…
Should Kelvin write off his 1,000 pound “Dave will go” bet?
Surely Cameron will continue well beyond this year? The appearance by ex-Sun editor Kelvin Mackenzie on BBC’s Question Time last night reminded me of his £1000 bet that he wrote about in the Daily Mail just a week and a half ago. “I like a bet and sensed a killing was to be made when I saw a throwaway line in a Sunday paper. It said Rebekah Brooks, former chief executive of News International, was prepared to make public all…
PB NightHawks on Thursday
Is James Forsyth calling this right? The Speccies’s James Foryth: Ed Miliband as PM is no longer an absurd proposition but a distinct political possibility. bit.ly/KkUhe6 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 17, 2012 The Speccie’s political editor and one of the best connected journalists in the Westminster village makes the case tonight that PM Miliband is a distinct possibility. Is he right? Have a good night @MikeSmithsonOGH