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Month: May 2012

How serious are Nadine’s threats against Dave?

How serious are Nadine’s threats against Dave?

Could the PM be ousted by his own MPs? It is almost part of the political calendar – talk of threats to party leaders on the first Sunday after each year’s May local elections. Generally the reports are pinned on unnamed “senior figures” ready to brief but not go on the record with their concerns about their leader. This morning it’s different. The comments are on the record and the dissident MP, Nadine Dorries, is touring the broadcasting studios telling…

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Will Cameron go the way of Heath?

Will Cameron go the way of Heath?

Wikimeda Commons Is the country not yet ready for a 21st century Selsdon Man? The battering the government took in this week’s local elections shouldn’t have come as too much of a surprise. The line being defended – those seats last fought in 2008 – was set at the very depths of Labour’s unpopularity in office; the government is taking decisions which are making life harder for many across the country while failing to pin the ultimate blame for them…

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Boris wins – YouGov wins – London divided

Boris wins – YouGov wins – London divided

BBC news After an extraordinarily long wait which must throw into question the use of counting machine at elections, Boris Johnson has been returned for a second term as Mayor of London. The battle was much tighter than any of the polls had indicated with the final result being: Name Party 1st Pref % 2nd Pref % Final Total Boris Johnson CON 971,931 44.01 82,880 44.74 1,054,811 Ken Livingstone LAB 889,918 40.30 102,355 55.26 992,273 Jenny Jones GRN 98,913 4.48…

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Is Alex Salmond one of the day’s big losers?

Is Alex Salmond one of the day’s big losers?

Why did the SNP make Glasgow their key target? In our PB prediction poll a couple of weeks ago a reasonable majority of participants said that the SNP would win control of the city of Glasgow. That was understandable given the hype that was coming from north of the border. For weeks this has been paraded as Alex Salmond’s big objective for May 3rd and the latest news is that the SNP has fallen short by some distance. In fact…

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CON still odds-on favourite for the general election – Betfair

CON still odds-on favourite for the general election – Betfair

Betfair At what stage will the market switch? After being totally hammered in the local elections you would expect that punters would take a fresh look at the chances of the Tories winning most seats at the next general election. The panel above gives the prices at 0824 this morning with a price of 1.88 (that’s 0.88/1 in real money) on the Conservatives winning most seats. The blues have been solid favourites since the market was set up after the…

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