Don’t forget the PB gathering on Thursday night? I’m now pretty certain that I will be at Thursday’s PB party at the Dirty Dicks pub across the road from Liverpool Street Station in London. The proceedings start at about 6.30pm. Everybody is welcome. We are on the first floor at the back and there should be signs. Thanks again to Fat Steve for fixing it. @MikeSmithsonOGH
Surely it should have candidates in West Oxfordshire? According to the Conservative party’s election analyst, Rob Hayward, UKIP has only managed to field full slates of candidates in just six of the 181 council areas where elections are being held on May 3rd. These are Adur, Plymouth and Wirral, Eastleigh, Great Yarmouth and Sheffield. In the other 175 council area they are not competing in any wards or are contesting a limited number of wards. Surprisingly one area with a…
Pollster says Clegg’s party could be down to 7 seats The above graphic was put out by UKIP overnight after the latest YouGov daily poll showed them, for the first time, in third place, This was a smart move by the purples and will heighten expectations for serious council seat gains for UKIP in the local elections a fortnight on Thursday. The 43/32/8/8 poll followed another survey earlier in the day amongst members of the YouGOV polling panel who reside…
Labour opens up wide gaps in new polls The first of at least three new polls expected tonight is out and has LAB moving into a 10% lead. The pollster, TNS-BMRB has: CON 32% (-3), LAB 42% (+4), LD 10% (-1) and Others 16% (-) This is the largest gap recorded by the firm since the election and broadly follows the trends seen elsewhere. This post will be updated when other polls come out. Times Populus telephone poll has CON…
The Greens look set to lose their assembly seats There’s a new YouGov poll on the May 3rd London elections just out which has Boris ahead by a reasonable margin. Boris has 45% of first preference, Ken 40%, Lib Dem Brian Paddick 7% with UKIP’s Webb at 3 per cent. The Green Jenny is tying with independent candidate Siobhan Benita on 2% After taking into account second preferences Boris leads Ken by 6%. Although the Boris lead is comfortable he…
Will more than half the cities vote NO on May 3rd? In just two and a half weeks voters in ten cities across England have a chance to vote YES or NO to change the structure of local government in their areas by bringing in US-style elected mayors. This was one of the big ideas in the Conservative manifesto at the general election and the party has been working hard to promote the idea. Cameron, himself, has becoming closely associated…
Why are punters shunning the Labour standard bearer? JUST TEN pounds has been placed on Ken Livingstone to win the London Mayoral election since Siobhan Benita entered the frame according to Ladbrokes. Whilst Siobhan Benita’s odds tumbled the bookies didn’t register a single bet for Ken Livingstone as his odds drifted out to 5/2. The trend has been bucked however and one brave punter has staked £10 on the Labour candidate – whilst Benita racks up thousands of pounds in…
What about the 5/1 that she’ll come third? The unlikely campaign for the London Mayoralty by ex-top civil servant Siobhan Benita, continues to attract media attention with features today in the Mail on Sunday, Indy and the Observer almost all of it positve. In terms of column inches she’s easily out-performing the LDs, the Greens and all the others in the race bar Ken/Boris and this bodes well for her in the final 18 days of campaigning. Clearly she’s running…