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Month: July 2011

HenryG asks: Who’d take over if Dave is forced to quit?

HenryG asks: Who’d take over if Dave is forced to quit?

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Should you follow Mike’s 33/1 David Davis bet There’s increased speculation from Iain Dale and The Telegraph that David Cameron may end up quitting over the fallout from his relations to Coulson, Brooks and Murdoch. It’s worth considering who might takeover as leader of the Conservatives. The specific nature of this crisis hasn’t been reflected in the betting markets yet. I believe there is one candidate representing outstanding value. Let’s look at the frontrunners. Boris Johnson at 4/1. Isn’t even…

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Could my 150-1 Cameron bet end up being a winner?

Could my 150-1 Cameron bet end up being a winner?

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How close is this all getting to Number 10? Just nine days ago I placed a number of bets on what seemed then the very remote possibility that events could force Cameron out of Number 10. I got money on at 150/1 with Stan James and 100/1 that Dave would be next out saying “Could the position of the PM himself become the story in the next day or so and shouldn’t we be exploring the betting opportunities?” With so…

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Nick and Ed get hacking ratings boosts from YouGov

Nick and Ed get hacking ratings boosts from YouGov

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But are the changes just temporary? The weekly YouGov leader ratings for the Sunday Times are just out and show sizeable moves upwards in their net positions for both Miliband and Clegg. Cameron, meanwhile, also moves up a point. In the same poll a fortnight ago before the hacking scandal erupted Miliband was on 26% “well” and 60% “badly” – the worst figures of his time as leader. Today’s numbers show a net improvement over the two weeks of thirteen…

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Boosts for Labour & Miliband from ComRes

Boosts for Labour & Miliband from ComRes

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There’s a new ComRes online poll out for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror which has good news on leadership ratings for Ed Miliband and Nick Clegg while Cameron sees a drop in his net position from a month ago. Labour are up three points on voting intention with Miliband’s net leadership rating down from -27% in June to 13% now. Clegg sees his ratings move from -37% to -31%. Cameron, meanwhile, sees a drop from from -7% to…

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What does the Murdoch fallout mean for Miliband?

What does the Murdoch fallout mean for Miliband?

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Henry G Manson’s weekly slot In many ways this crisis has been the making of Ed Miliband. 16 days ago ago he was seriously wobbling. Since then the Labour Leader has bet big in taking on the Murdoch press and against the odds appears to have won. A judge-led enquiry, the BSkyB bid withdrawn, Rebekah Brooks gone and Rupert Murdoch beginning to apologise. Many Labour MPs simply are struggling to believe the recent turn of events and the transformation of…

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Is this a case of history repeating?

Is this a case of history repeating?

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BBC news How serious is the debt crisis going to get? It is a measure of how preoccupied the media has been with the phone-hacking scandal and the associated stories of the aborted NewsCorp takeover of BSkyB that prior to Thursday, one or other aspect of it formed the subject of Robert Peston’s previous sixteen blog entries. It is without doubt a major and developing story and fascinating to the Westminster Village as it involves so many of them. But…

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Miliband tops the leader ratings on the hacking scandal

Miliband tops the leader ratings on the hacking scandal

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And Clegg’s comfortably in second place There’s some new hacking scandal polling from Survation – the firm that carried out an initial poll on the issues raised for Channel 4 last week. Fieldwork was carried out between Monday and yesterday and the online sample was was 1069. The client was an organisation called Progressive Polling which has been set up to commission surveys on issues which they are interested in. Most of the findings have either been overtaken by events…

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