Latest PAPA Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % GE accuracy ranking ICM/Guardian 21/11/10 36 38 14 2= Populus/Times 24/10/10 2= Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 14/11/10 36 39 14 2= ComRes/Independent 29/11/10 36 40 12 5= YouGov/Sun 11/12/10 40 42 9 8 Angus Reid/Politicalbetting 29/11/10 35 40 13 9= ***PAPA*** LATEST 36.6 39.8 12.4 – And the LDs back to single figures with YouGov For nearly a fortnight the YouGov daily poll has had the Tories equal or ahead…
Would it have been tribal war almost every night? The attempted Labour filibuster this week to stop the fees votes was a reminder of how important it is for the government, in coalition or not, to have enough MPs available to thwart attempts to stop business going through. Just imagine if instead of the current partnership the Lib Dems and Labour had been part of a “Rainbow Coalition”? With 307 of the 650 MPs the blues would have been able…
Labour chooses its candidate for Old & Sad Thanks to the excellent Saddleworth News site for this – the pictures and details of the three short-listed candidates for the Oldham East & Saddleworth by-election that will take place in the new year. Local members decide tomorrow and their decision could be critical because in high profile by-elections the candidate can make a huge difference one way or the other. Wisely Labour are keeping it local and have gone for figures…
BBC News The “he’ll survive till the end of the year” bet looks good We’re at that point in the calendar when all those “will it happen in 2010” bets start to come into play. I’ve got two – one on David Law returning as a minister which I suspect won’t happen; and that Andy Coulson will survive in his job. If that comes good it will be the second time in just three months Cameron’s press chief and ex-News…
2010 election analysis (MORI) CON % LAB % LD % OTH %  Turn-Out All 37 30 24 10 65% Gender      Male 38 28 22 12 66% Female 36 31 26 8 64% Men 18-24 29 34 27 10 50% Men 25-34 42 23 30 6 56% Men 35-54 36 28 23 13 67% Men 55+ 41 29 16 14 76% Women 18-24 30 28 34 9 39% Women 25-34 27 38 27 8 54% Women…
What’s the political impact of the troubles on the streets? A main reason the Lib Dems were keen to get the fees vote over and done with as soon as possible was that they can put it behind them as the narrative moves on which, thanks to the riots, it certainly is doing. The split on the issue has happened but the party’s government ministers stuck with the policy and the overall number of yellow MPs voting for it was…